The Egyptian people seem to be taking the military takeover rather well. The Military does not seem to be rolling over the civilians with tanks and the Muslim Brotherhood seems to have lost resoundingly.
I expected far worse.
The military has suspended the constitution...which is usually an even bigger warning sign than a coup, but in this case the constitution had been recently imposed by Morsi and the Muslim Brotherhood.
The military leadership has not established a Junta (yet) but has put the Chief Justice of their Supreme court in charge of a civilian panel that has been tasked with running the country and organizing new elections.
A senior opposition figure says pro-reform leader Mohamed
ElBaradei, the top Muslim cleric of Al-Azhar Mosque and the Coptic pope
are meeting the army chief to discuss a political road map for Egypt
So the Copts and the Muslims are working together with the secularists and the military to hold democratic elections after deposing a democratically elected government that turned out to be oppressive and fundamentalist Islamic .
There's a concise overview of how this came to be here.
This is not exactly Kemalist as there are religious leaders at the table, but it at least looks like the military is trying to avoid having to run things themselves, and is handing it over to civilian civic leaders which is very promising.
Zero Hedge has some interesting pictures of the protests that are not making it into most of the news here. They show extreme anger at Obama and the US Ambassador to Egypt for backing the Islamofascistic whackadoodle who just got deposed. This via Instapundit who points out that it's telling that the posters are anti-Obama and not anti-US.
This could still go to worms in a terrible and bloody way, but at this point this is about the least bad outcome one could reasonably expect.
1
This is a pretty amazing turn of events. I can remember one other recent time when a military toppled a tyrannical government and turned it immediately over to the people. Annoyingly, I can't remember where it was.
Posted by: Mauser at Thu Jul 4 03:03:26 2013 (cZPoz)
2
This is probably the best possible outcome for Egypt. Hope it continues as smoothly.
1
Don't you know, the liberal solution to every modern problem is 100+ year old ideas.
Energy = Windmills
Political System = Marxism.
Labor = Unionization.
Transportation = Trolly cars (called "Light Rail")
Posted by: Mauser at Wed Jul 3 03:36:52 2013 (cZPoz)
2
As recently as last week I've been seeing people say that in a hundred years all of our energy will be renewable.
That's certainly not the case unless there's some kind of breakthrough like scrith.
Posted by: RickC at Wed Jul 3 12:02:19 2013 (A9FNw)
3
And, since I have mentioned that, we can solve the long-distance transmission issues through room-temperature superconductors.
Posted by: RickC at Wed Jul 3 12:04:31 2013 (A9FNw)
It would be great if every good potential site for a wind farm was open to wind farming, but that just isn't the case. The environmentalists worry about bird kills. The locals worry about noise and losing their view (or having it include a lot of windmills, which I guess lowers property values...) It was almost inevitable that some wind farms would be set up in less-than-ideal locations, where there's just not enough energy available to justify the installation. This is doubly the case due to the heavy subsidies that are occasionally available.
On top of that, it's not like wind turbines are a mature technology, and so you're going to get duds. Even in good locations, wind farms are something that only works out if your MTBF is at least as high as expected. If someone in your parts chain decided to go cheap Chinese on you, it's entirely possible that you'll get a high rate of breakdowns, with no likely economic return from attempting replacements. (Compact fluorescent light bulbs had a lot of the same problems initially - they only make sense if they last a lot longer than a regular bulb, but a lot of the initial offerings on the market didn't have that kind of reliability. Along the same lines, this makes me skeptical about the utility of home solar... for the math to work out it actually has to last as long as it says on the label, but especially with new types of panel, we just don't have the experience to tell us whether those estimates are realistic.)
There's a lot of rusty derricks out there too.
Posted by: Avatar_exADV at Wed Jul 3 14:09:59 2013 (GJQTS)
5
The need for metal would, one would think, drive the owners-of-record to rip these sorts of things down for the scrap value. Unless the alloys in question are such that it isn't worth the cost to dismantle, transport and recycle them?
Posted by: Mitch H. at Thu Jul 4 08:32:18 2013 (jwKxK)
6
There really isn't that much metal there, and tearing them down would be difficult, dangerous, and expensive.
7
You know, one really interesting thing about home solar, is that people always question the ROI. I don't know firsthand, but I used to read Home Power regularly in the 90s, and according to them, a lot of solar panels had effective lives well beyond their design lifetime (they're rated for 20 years, but many provide something like 80-90% of rated power for 27-29 years or longer.) I don't think mainstream people take that into consideration.
The other thing, of course, is you can't economically use solar to live a modern lifestyle unchanged: you'd need a $20-40K setup if you expect to be able to provide the kind of power most of us use. Most people who live off-grid do it with a few hundred to a thousand watts of PV, and couple that with things like rammed-earth or underground homes, so, for example, you don't get as hot or as cool and need less heating/cooling. I think it would take a lot to get most people to change to live like that.
Posted by: RickC at Thu Jul 4 22:27:56 2013 (WQ6Vb)
At least 150 pre-fabricated skyscrapers from Central Station to
Strathfield, conveyor belts shuttling building materials above Ultimo,
train lines ripped up for new ones underground, and much of the steel
and concrete shipped from China, with an army of international workers
assembling it all for a pittance.
The novel project could have been Sydney's had the O'Farrell government been just a bit more expansive in its thinking.
Perhaps instead of 'more expansive' 'less prudent' would be a more appropriate descriptor in that last sentence.
I'm sure that none of those places will find they have listening devices, basic facilities for naval bases or changes in contract terms at any point in the future. No sirreee.
Full disclosure: That last paragraph is a combination of sarcasm, paranoia and vigilance in uncertain proportions.
Perhaps instead of 'more expansive' 'less prudent' would be a more appropriate descriptor in that last sentence.
The Sydney Morning Herald is ardently left-wing, and our state government is centre-right, so whatever the current government does, the SMH will take the opposing view. If the government had gone ahead with the idea, the SMH would be prophesying doom all over the front page.
And while I fully support tearing down Sydney's Inner West, I'm not convinced that replacing it with pre-fab Chinese skyscrapers is actually an improvement.
What Passes for Excitement When One is Living the Walter Mitty Lifestyle
Saturday night I made the trek out to Virginia Beach where a friend and I went to Gus and George's, one of that cities few remaining old fashioned steakhouses. The purpose of this journey was to partake of their Romanian Steak...which defies mot attempts to adequately convey its awesomeness. In this our mission was successful and we delighted in our consumption of the marinated flesh of the cowbeast.
Unfortunately, as the night became morning, the brakes on my car began to feel progressively more and more ..."odd". I was able to brake...with effort...but something was wrong. I had brake fluid, it didn't feel like the master cylinder had gone, there was no grinding..so after dropping my friend off at his house and convincing him to watch Gargantia, I headed home...wherapon the brakes became basically useless, so I decided to head towards the repair shop.
At this point I should mention that the sound of a safety brake cable snapping when the lever is pulled up violently is that of a loud chirp and is accompanied by a loss of all resistance in the brake lever. In my limited experience it is also accompanied by profanity, evasive maneuvers and downshifting....which in an automatic involves unpleasant and expensive sounding noises.
Anyway, the car is still in the shop as I type this...which is why i could not find my normal set of keys at 03:30 this morning when I went to work and why I had so much trouble finding where I'd parked.
Now as I ponder the lessons learned today, I look with some satisfaction upon the front door key that now graces my spare set of car keys.
1
I'm kind of impressed by the full modelling of the reflections, unless they just cheated and put an inverted copy of the same model under the "floor".
Posted by: Mauser at Tue Jul 2 03:01:34 2013 (cZPoz)
2
Even if they did, it'd be an example of 'smarter not harder' and is still a pretty nice touch.
Posted by: The Brickmuppet at Tue Jul 2 23:37:33 2013 (F7DdT)
1
How long until Obama gives an angry speech criticizing the protestors, followed by air strikes?
Posted by: Siergen at Mon Jul 1 16:28:49 2013 (Ao4Kw)
2
Some analysts say WRT Egypt that "When you import half your calories, And tourism is your main source of income, you prefer stability." But to an Islamist regime, I think it means they have 50% too many mouths to feed, and you can guess which ones will get priority.
Posted by: Mauser at Tue Jul 2 03:04:01 2013 (cZPoz)
Gargantia Ends
Well...now we know what that fountain in episode 5 was all about.
It was 'Checkov's Mass Driver'.
Well, what's there to gripe about?
There's a slight reduction in the animation quality in episode 11 & the first part of 12. There was a scene where one character was way off model and there was that gratuitous moment of yuck in episode 5....
"Dude...please..."
Yeah...I think that sums up all my complaints.... now the good points.
This has been one of the more enjoyable shows in recent years.
It's nicely paced with likeable characters, gorgeous art, and at times, near movie quality production values. It's a substantive show too, touching on themes of ethics, honor, redemption and the extraordinary and irreplaceable value of liberty.
Gargantia goes to some dark places, but it never succumbs to nihilism. It is saved from that by the general decency of most of its characters and the fact that the show never loses its sense of hope.
When not dealing with challanges that range from the silly to the venal to the epic, it focuses on life in one of the most pleasant, visually interesting and from all appearances liveable fantasy/ sci-fi worlds in recent memory; a world that in almost every episode managed to surprise.
NOTE: Some surprises more consequential than others.
Finally, I just find it transcendentally awesome that we have a show with complex, decent
and well developed characters that has as the good guys libertarian,
entrepreneurial sea steaders and as their antagonists a malevolent group
of new age, very hierarchical, totalitarian socialists...complete with
death panels...
Beautifully presented, and well thought out, Gargantia on the Verduous Planet is inspiring, thrilling and ultimately quite pleasant. It also manages to pull off a thoroughly satisfying ending which is a pretty rare thing.
This ones a real gem.
Gen Urobochi is the writer, Kazuya Murata is the director, Koji Tanaka is the art director, Naruko Hannaharu did the character designs and the Music Director is Taro Iwashiro. They all bear watching in the future.
You hooked me with Spoiler #2; guess we'll be looking at this when we get home.
Such changes in ten years! Coming out of the Hampton tunnel, I was rather taken aback at the 300' Brickmuppet Statue... and why they chose to immortalize you as a Magical Girl still eludes....
See ya'!
Posted by: Clayton Barnett at Sun Jun 30 17:45:11 2013 (AS4zy)
42 Years Ago Today
The crew of Soyuz 11 docked with the very first space station (Salyut 1) and stayed in orbit for 23 days, setting a space endurance record before they were forced to cut short their mission due to an electrical fire on the station.
During the re-entry of the Soyuz 11 capsule , there was a loss of radio contact, but the spacecraft landed quite normally in Kazakhstan.
Tragically, when the recovery team arrived however, they found that a pressure release valve had opened during reentry and exposed the crew to the vacuum of space. They were not wearing pressure suits. Despite the best efforts of the recovery team to revive them, Georgiy Timofeyevich Dobrovolsky, Viktor Ivanovich Patsayevand Vladislav Nikolayevich Volkov had died on re-entry.
As terrible as this was, it bears remembering that if the boundaries of the future are allowed to be
set by the, the timid, or far worse, those
who
would presume to forbid others from striving for great things...then our future will be a
dark age. The human race is fortunate to have people such as these who will step into the breach and attempt great deeds.
1
This is a valid point that applies to all nations.
In America, the crew safety turned into a joke, as ASAP posts obviously cooked numbers and calculates the loss-of-crew estimates for SLS, which does not yet exist, against rockets that already fly.
Posted by: Pete Zaitcev at Sun Jun 30 11:00:25 2013 (RqRa5)
I guess that as superpowers go this far from the worst....but I can't help but think that it comes with the vulnerability "already at bottom of hill" ...which is probably way more common than Kryptonite.
Good grief. He had a VASTLY worse run-in with Annies theologist than I did. Damn cultists. Fortunately he's alive and recovering, but its looking to be a long road.
I, for now, work in a State-run hospital, and things such as these are much more common than most folks know.
In other news, replying to this older post:6 @Tiberius. Oh cool! I have no idea WHAT is happening with my family that weekend, but as I learn I'll keep you posted. I don't drink but we can try to do something. Thanks!
BM: family & I will be in V. Beach from PM of 6/30 to AM of 7/5. They'll be at the beach, I'll be at the bar, writing code. We'll trip over to the Nauticus one day, of course. Email me and I'll get you my contact info; love to see what a real Brickmuppet looks like!
Posted by: Tiberius at Fri Jun 28 14:50:47 2013 (97M8h)
"Wound"Attack on Titan continues, and while our heroes don't accomplish much in the way of their goals this episode, an awful lot is happening.
Yeah, things are not going well for our would be giant slayers. At the end of last episode, everything pretty much went to worms and this has a sort of cascade effect, so they just cannot seem to get a break.
As we learned in previous episodes, Eren has used his experience points to purchase the "Turn into Giant" perk. At the end of last episode we find this comes with the limitation " Become non-sentient, feral, berzerker beast". Mikasa tries to reason with him to no avail, but he is so feral and mindless that she unwittingly gets him to punch himself out.
Meanwhile, it turns out that all the giants regard the unconscious Eren as food despite his size and lack of congeniality.
This leaves our heroes trying to hold off the giants in the hopes that he will de-biggulate and/or regain reason, but he's attracting a LOT of giants as Mikasa explains to Arimin when he arrives.
While the A-listers fight a delaying action, Arimin, whose combat skill is dubious, stays to try and awaken or reason with Eren and decides to cut him out of giant body...with poor results. Meanwhile Jean is running through the city dealing with giants as a pedestrian, due to a a broken set of maneuver gear.
Nicely paced with an even better than usual score, episode 12 is an enthralling three
ring circus and the show seems to be well and truly back on track.
His last post was 13 days ago
and indicated that he had taken a turn for the worse after his back surgery and been readmitted
to the hospital. I tried E-mailing him but the messages bounce back
with the error message that his mailbox is full.
Well...THAT Was Unexpected
...and so was all that other stuff...
"...like MELTY of all people demonstrating such intrepidity and being so pivotal to the plot."
Gargantia on the Verdurous Planet is not quite the show we thought it was, it's in no way the show we thought it had become in episode 9, and given the amazing (yet perfectly convincing) surprises and misdirections the writer has thrown at us though the whole series, I'm unprepared at this point to predict what kind of show it will turn out to be. However, It is looking really, really good right now. My only quibble with this episode is that is that IGOTTAWAITAWHOLEWEEK4THENEXTONE!
They could still screw it up, but right now It looks like Madoka was no fluke.
Never Trust ANYONE Who Doesn't Believe in Money
This always bothered me about Star Trek...the whole "We have no money, we....ummm....uh....stuff" thing was always put out there but handwaived..
Of course there are all sorts of problems with this notion as it means that whoever is in charge decides what and who has value....and doesn't. This may appeal to a certain type of control freak, academic or fanatic, but it is unlikely to work out for those not in favor with those who take it upon themselves to define value.
This is explored extensively in episode 11 of Gargantia on the Verdurous Planet which holds forth in part on how NOT to set up ones economy and society.
In Gargantia, the fanatical new-age commies parroting received wisdom from their "betters" are the BAD GUYS....I LOVE this show!
1
Iain Banks, of blessed memory, was one of the few people who could put together a SF universe without money and with a convincing explanation for why there wasn't any.
But that only worked because, frankly, omg-what-super-science had ended scarcity completely, material goods being so easy to manufacture and so inexpensive that there's just not any point in keeping track to allocate things "fairly"; there's enough for everyone to massively overindulge to their wild fantasies. There's enough real estate (as the society busily churns out additional world-rings) for people to have whatever domicile they like. And everything is run by AIs with social incentives to keep everybody as happy as possible, and with the attention necessary to keep an eye on everyone and intervene in their lives exactly as much as they feel comfortable with, but anyway enough to keep them from dying in accidents or from stabbing or shooting each other.
Star Trek has a little of this going (replicators, dontcha know) but still hasn't quite got the omnipresent-benevolent AI down, and is way too busy being organized to get properly hedonistic. Also, without the AI, there's actually a point to having human labor for things like military applications...
Posted by: Avatar_exADV at Wed Jun 19 21:11:28 2013 (pWQz4)
2
Though a major theme of Look to Windward is, well, money.
Posted by: Pixy Misa at Thu Jun 20 08:41:42 2013 (PiXy!)
3
Manufacturing has already gone fairly far down the too-cheap-to-meter road; the majority of value is no longer manufactured in developed economies. The US, for instance, has gone from over 400,000 autoworkers to 70,000 in the last generation and a half. Money is money, and it follows scarcity. If stuff ceases to be scarce, it will stop tracking stuff, and chase work, or ideas, or motive power, or sheer raw power itself.
Have you read Wright's Count to a Trillion? Some interesting stuff in there about how societies adapt to too-cheap-to-meter power at the Kardashev II level. Which reminds me, I have to order the sequel...
I don't watch current-season anime anymore, but this show sounds like my sort of thing. Looking forward to it in a year or two.
Posted by: Mitch H. at Thu Jun 20 09:17:51 2013 (jwKxK)
Starting to Make Headway
After the extended disquisition upon nothing that ground the series into a screeching, boring, mind numbing state of torpor with episode 10, Attack On Titan begins to resume, somewhat haltingly, it's story.
While most of episode 11 is discussing the need to get ready to do something, the discussions go into some interesting places.
The Best Song In the History of Everything
Is not available on iTunes or Amazon, it long predates CDs and of course all vinyl containing it was ordered destroyed by Nixon's FDA so my quest to add this to my MP3 queue is still unfulfilled.
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