March 26, 2026
Thoughts on the Current Unpleasantness
Nick Frietas frequently leans a bit more into culture war stuff than I'd like, but he is a VERY smart guy. His military and legislative experience is both broad and deep, and he has a better understanding of the applicability of historical precedents than a lot of folks. I put a lot of stock in his analysis.
Malcom and Simone Collins are best known as pro-natalist influencers, but are more broadly a couple of epically crazy people who are rumored, by less epically crazy people to be vampires...no really.
I suspect that they are not.
They are highly autistic and rather more sanguine than I am about the likelihood of very good outcomes from A.G.I. They are also extremely smart, well informed, and entertaining. Their more worrisome, materialistic, almost Huxleyan views (which do not come out in this video) seems to be a product of their neurodivergence rather than malevolence and their analysis is quite analytical and thought provoking. I'm disturbed to agree with them more often than I don't and the worst people in the world seem to hate them, so at least give them a listen.
Posted by: The Brickmuppet at
12:55 PM
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One great thing about the Internet is that you can find an expert opinion to support any kind of pre-conceived bias that you may have. For example, if you listen to Mercouris, Iran is doing much better than expected, and in fact is on a road to Vietnam-style victory.
Posted by: Pete Zaitcev at Sun Apr 5 20:03:14 2026 (LZ7Bg)
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Iran could well get a Viet-Nam style victory. North Viet-Nam lost almost every major battle, yet achieved all of there goals even after signing the peace treaty because they violated the treaty and there was no political will in the U.S. to do anything about it.
The geography of the Hormuz strait precludes easy fixes and the American public is not known for having a good tolerance of high gas prices.
I think the only thing that will give us a victory any better than a spoiling action would be a general uprising in Iran. Which, as I've noted elsewhere, no longer seems to be in the cards.
The geography of the Hormuz strait precludes easy fixes and the American public is not known for having a good tolerance of high gas prices.
I think the only thing that will give us a victory any better than a spoiling action would be a general uprising in Iran. Which, as I've noted elsewhere, no longer seems to be in the cards.
Posted by: The Brickmuppet at Sun Apr 5 20:49:37 2026 (dLZLE)
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