August 07, 2022

The Return of the Good Old Days


Polio Virus Photo Via

Polio, a disease that once was a seasonal horror, that killed or paralyzed millions and was only eliminated in North America in 1979 through the genius of Jonas Salk has returned to the U.S. 


Inflation, gas shortages domestic terrorism, riots, foreign policy disasters, Weimar-like degeneracy, paranoia and polio.  The '70s are here again baby. 

Posted by: The Brickmuppet at 10:08 AM | Comments (4) | Add Comment
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1 a) links for the citations seem to indicate one actual case, and wastewater tests. b) xenophobia is a historical response to disease concerns, and as a response has functional elements. One of the unusual things now was the combination of disease concern with xenophilia. Domestic isolation is relatively pointless when you are bringing in foreign potential carriers constantly and ensuring that they expose a broad range of American society. c) Obviously, wealthy international travelers and illegals over the southern border are relevant. But, it is notable that the universities seem to run on international graduate students, and hence that university provided guidelines on disease control are careful to avoid ruining the business of a university, while fecklessly ruining the businesses of those without close ties to a university. d) Polio is unsurprising, it is one of the many diseases that we would expect the current regime to have successfully imported. e) The wastewater tests are suspicious, because of the implication that it is a novel test, that there is some sort of statistical inference carried out, and because the CDC is involved. Public Health bureaucracies, including the CDC, now have a proven track record of apparent malice when it comes to misconduct regarding statistical models of disease, and regarding tests, especially novel tests. e) Any of these disease tests is basically an instrument, meaning that if you have good quality control on the individual tests, you need a large number of measurements to calibrate. Right now, something seems to have happened to cause a broad range of issues with quality control. Very likely, the calibration measurements have been few, and not run independently through outside statistical analysis. f) It is possibly relevant that the opposition leadership appears to be driven heavily by leadership in their eighties, and estimating the effectiveness of talking points off of what would have been effective sixty years ago. Forex, presuming a familiarity with statistical numeracy and with electronic security that would have been true in the 1960s, but is very untrue today. Polio is precisely what such people would choose to fraud in order to try to panic people into another round of lockdowns, forced vaccines, and compelled acceptance of electoral irregularities. g) Nuking New York City to sterilize the imported diseases there is as reasonable as anything else that people are proposing.

Posted by: PatBuckman at Sun Aug 7 10:43:52 2022 (r9O5h)

2 I support option G, preferably while their federal delegation is home on recess....

Posted by: Mauser at Sun Aug 7 13:43:39 2022 (BzEjn)

3 Once the existing policy is costly enough, consideration of alternatives can be batshit crazy, and still be as sane. 

Monkeypox starts to make an extreme criminalization of sexual promiscuity look reasonable.  Maybe NYC's population density is too high.  Maybe Boulder, CO, has a population density that is too high, or just a population that is too high.   

It seems like that now we only have factions that are stressed to the point of insanity.  We will /not/ be calming down for a while, unless something that is specifically unpredictable happens. 

Many of the remedies easy to hand have costs that would also be pretty bad. 

Not under my control, and that is most likely a very good thing in a lot of ways.  One thing that may be under my control, I can try to calm down, do something productive, and realize that some of my immediate impulses would actually probably be more costly than what I want to fix. 

I don't know.  That is a useful statement. 

Posted by: Pat Buckman at Sun Aug 7 16:48:13 2022 (r9O5h)

4 Pakistan is having polio outbreaks, and that is right next door to Afghanistan, and the Taliban was suspicious of polio vaccine so a lot of kids never got it as kids.

Posted by: Suburbanbanshee at Thu Aug 11 19:15:43 2022 (sF8WE)

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