October 06, 2016

More on the Implications of Mathew's Current Track

Rand Simberg had this to say yesterday. 
But the latest is that it’s still headed right at the Cape, and could even become a five when it hits tomorrow. If that happens, it will probably destroy the VAB, and other facilities, which are only rated for 125 mph winds. It would also probably wipe out much of the infrastructure at CCAFS, which would put both SpaceX and ULA out of business for low-inclination launches until it can be repaired. The only access to ISS (at least with any significant payload — one can dogleg out of Vandenberg, with a big performance penalty) would be from Wallops, via Orbital ATK. Hard to understate what a blow this would be in terms of our space capabilities.  

This is the track as of 8pm tonight.

UPDATE:It's actually worse. Via Scott Lowther comes this:
Kennedy’s Orbiter Processing Facilities are rated to withstand sustained winds of 105 mph. The Vehicle Assembly Building and launchpads hold together up until about 115 mph, while newer buildings constructed after Hurricane Andrew in 1992 are designed to weather 130 mph winds.

Posted by: The Brickmuppet at 07:02 PM | Comments (1) | Add Comment
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1 Looks like you yourself are going to miss the fun this time. Maybe a bit of heavy rain, and that's about it.

Posted by: Steven Den Beste at Fri Oct 7 01:29:17 2016 (+rSRq)

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