September 04, 2008
Criticism that it was short on policy specifics ( generally not the Veep candidates job ) or that it attacked the opposition leader ( generally the Veep candidates job) are just sour grapes.
Governor Palin's big requirement was to deliver a good speech and she did that. She will probably do well in the VP Debate, though Biden is an excellent debater (that is basically all he's done over the last 20 years...other than be wrong) Palin rather more social conservative than I like but her record in Alaska seems pretty impressive for such a short time.
She is quite impressive in many ways, not the least because of the tornado of bile from the Media and the Nutroots that she endured with considerable grace over the weekend. However, it would be good for those of us on the right to not to get too full of ourselves. Due to a combination of bad performance in Congress, bad luck, bad faith reporting by the media and arrogance, the Republican brand is a hard sell this year. To the extent we forget the first and last points, this dilemma is deserved. We have a chance in part because our two candidates seem to be trying to correct both problems.
It is also important to remember that while Obama's resume is rather thinner than either of the Republican candidates, as a senator he has not been the empty suit * he was for most of his previous career. He is also engaging, eloquent and likable to many. Additionally, his urbane sense of entitlement, as off-putting as it is to us, gives many people who have historically been despicably excluded, a much deserved sense of pride and hope.
He also has a solid following of genuinely scary goofballs who seem to see him as a messiah fulfilling the prophecies of Marx and Mao. He is not to be underestimated, and I genuinely fear that to the extent he is not playing his "progressive" backers for fools that the stakes are quite high...so, as the A listers say... don't get cocky*....
Still, we have in this Bull Moose ticket a remarkably strong hand. For the first time in this election I am optimistic.
More optimism here.
*HT: Instapundit
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September 03, 2008

I which I am witness to and participant in a wheelchair mishap. more...
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Ike's currently projected track is just plain mean.

Of course, as anyone who has followed these storms the last few weeks knows, they are anything but predictable...except to the extent that they are an annual annoyance.
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September 02, 2008
As far as maladroit fandom goes....there are levels.
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Lucky Star is a show that ought not to interest me in the least. Yet this show has grown on me...like a fungus.
Based on a 4 panel strip, this slice of life show focuses on the antics of 3 normal if awkward Japanese teenagers...and a slightly maladjusted otakuette. A collection of short skits, with topics ranging from dessert consumption etiquette, to the dark results of child star exploitation (!?), the show is reminiscent of Peanuts more than anything else.
It is also a costly thing to miss.
Recently, I went to Japan, and suffered a bit of a mishap my first night there. The guest house I was to be staying in had burned down and I found this out shortly before the trains shut down. While in Chofu station waiting for a transfer I spied what I mistook for a cybercafe, so, thinking this area had to be cheaper than Shinjuku I left the station...and what proved to be the last train out.
"Relevancy?" you ask?
Now if I had watched Lucky Star volume 3....I would have learned that Chofu is an expensive and hoity toity yuppieville, thus I would not have left, I would have gone clear to Shunjuku and not paid nearly twice what any other hotel cost me on the whole trip, just to get out of the rain....which would have been most useful given that the mishap cost me a large chunk of my available funds.
So...watch Lucky Star, buy it AS SOON as it comes out...don't wait!

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September 01, 2008
They are really scared by this woman!
Terrified it would seem.
Today, the shocking revelation that Bristol Palin, is pregnant and while engaged, is not yet married.
Oh, the scandal of it all. I feel as if I will faint. (not)
This would seem to debunk the amazing "Sarah Palinzez latIst baBy is not hers but her daughters!!!11!!! z0mg!!!1!!" theory*
To his credit, Obama today tried to put a stop to the nasty bile, but the fear on the left that their sure victory is no longer certain (if it ever was) is now setting in. The fact that it might be due to to somebody not just from a flyover state....but a never fly near state is too much for many of them to bear, hence the frenzy of nutsieness.
While watching this hateful trainwreck is almost amusing in a very lowbrow way, the implications for the country are not good..and it gives me heartburn. Additionally, there are a lot of actual issues that need addressing and I'd like to see some damned debates. I've pretty much made up my mind, and indeed Palin's strong libertarian streak pick sets at ease many of my misgivings about McCain but there are a lot of issues I'd like to see discussed with specifics, and at the moment we're getting, even by normal US politics standards red herrings.
*unless...
Bristol is actually wearing a fat suit to throw everybody off and will fake a miscarriage...
...or...
Bristol Palin has 2 Vagina's...probably due to Global Warming!
See Kossacks! You can still keep the dream alive!
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Now attention turns to Hanna and Ike.
In addition to the possibility of a very rough landfall, Hanna looks like it could go up the spine of the Appalachians, storm systems drop moisture when they hit mountains which could cause it to dump a lot of rain between North Carolina and Pennsylvania. I have no idea what sort of rain potential this storm has but Appalachia by its nature is vulnerable to flash floods. Historically several Hurricanes have killed more people in the mountains of Virginia and North Carolina via flooding than they did in coastal regions.

Ike appears poised to wreak havoc in the Caribbean, though it looks like most nations and all the US Territories will thankfully be in the happy quadrant of this one if it doesn't stray too far from the NOAA model (though the Bahamians are going to have a rough time with this one). The big question here again is rain, which has historically caused lots of damage in the area, particularly on Hispaniola due to deforestation.

Still, it looks like we dodged a big one.
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August 31, 2008
This is very nearly a worst case track.
It looks like NOLA is going to be in the danger quadrant and winds will be blowing into New Orleans from Lake Ponchartrain. This is a far, more direct hit than the city got during Katrina and will put maximum stress on the levees. Weather Nerd has more.

A better idea of the windspeeds can be seen below click here for full size.

Information Dissemination has a post on the Navy side of the disaster preparations, note that the main difference between this and 2005 is that the current governor of Louisiana is competent and also unlikely to deny them entry and Mayor Nagin is not being an ass. Having learned his lesson, he has ordered a timely evacuation this time and seems to be implementing a real evacuation plan.
Regards the Hospital Ships, Mercy is still in Paupa New Guinea but Comforts last publicly acknowledged location was Baltimore.
GUSTAV IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. THE NOAA
AUTOMATED STATION AT PULASKI SHOAL LIGHT FLORIDA RECENTLY REPORTED
2-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS OF 51 MPH...81 KM/HR...WITH A GUST OF
60 MPH...96 KM/HR.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIR FORCE
HURRICANE HUNTER IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.
AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM SURGE OF 18 TO 25 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDAL LEVELS IS EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER
OF GUSTAV CROSSES THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO
3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THE DRY TORTUGAS AS
GUSTAV PASSES TO ITS WEST.
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
12 INCHES OVER PORTION OF LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND
SOUTHERN ARKANSAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20
INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF ABOUT AN INCH ARE POSSIBLE OVER FLORIDA KEYS AND
SOUTH FLORIDA.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF COAST LATER
TODAY.
Excerpted...emphasis mine.
This has every indication of being at least as bad as 2005.
If you want to help, either in person or by donation, Rambling Rebuilder, who spent much of 2005/2006 doing relief and recovery efforts along the Gulf Coast sends these helpful links.
.
Southern Baptist Disaster Relief...are acknowledged as the experts in Hurricane relief in the southeast.
Habitat for Humanity...helps out with the aftermath of these things.
Samaritans..don't get much attention, but Rambling Rebuilder says they were very heavily engaged and helpful in the area after the 2005 calamity.
These are the ones he saw that were most visible.
There is also a big list of relief NGO's on this page.
If by some bizarre chance you are reading this and are in the above indicated path....get off the damn computer and leave!
Meanwhile....

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August 29, 2008
60 odd days till the election...
Kossacks...

UPDATE: HAH! I Love it!
UPDATE 2: Steven Den Beste posts on....Hell, just go look.
UPDATE 3: The Anchoress has put together everything one needs to know about Palin-noia.
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Read the whole thing...
Read the comments...
...particularly the comment by the asshat who thinks that Ms. Doran having a good chuckle at the above linked cretins expense casts her integrity in doubt....and then proceeds to reinforce his sensitive progressive bonifides by calling this acomplished and talented artist "Hot Lips".
After you have done that, then check out the third update in the post below.

God I hate commies.......
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The 'Phibian wins the betting pool.
I didn't think he would do it but I am VERY happy that he did.
Palin is awesome, a highly principled individual who as a legislator resigned in protest of party graft in Alaska. She ran a dark horse, anti-establishment campaign rather cut off from party support and won the gubernatorial nomination by sheer competence and public appeal. She has been very reform oriented as Governor and quite successful at it.
Cdr Salamander has background here.
If this is not disinformation it is great news.
I'm off to school.
UPDATE: Happy Dance!
It was not disinformation. Sarah Palin is the Republican Vice Presidential candidate.

I saw her acceptance speech at school. It was most impressive. From a perspective of principle, achievement and competence she is hard to beat. This was my dream Veep candidate. I really did not think he would do it. Palin is also one of the more Libertarian Governors out there (an unsurprising thing coming from a frontier state).
Galrhan has taken a short break from defense analysis to post some thoughts on the election in general and they do ring true....particularly this bit:
We have two very interesting tickets, but they both tell the same story. The United States of America is the greatest country in the world, and the lives of all four candidates combine to represent and reaffirm that reality.
More background on Palin here.
I would point out that Governor Palin's foreign policy experience, while admittedly quite sparse, is not actually zero. She worked with Canada to get the recently started natural gas pipeline approved. She has probably had some dealings with her Russian counterparts regards fisheries and attempts at cooperation in search and rescue matters. All governors have a certain amount of hands-on negotiation with foreign countries on trade, educational and occasionally environmental matters. Significantly, what little foreign policy experience she has has been practical, rather than theoretical.
Obama would be very unwise to mock her lack of experience given his exceedingly thin resume. Oh wait.
Yet more on Governor Palin, this time from a libertarian perspective, here.



UPDATE3: Holy Carp!
Note: .Gifs are for celebratory purposes only: No endorsement of McCain/Palin by Mr.T, or the creators of Windows 95 and Hidamari Sketch should be inferred from this post.
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August 28, 2008
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(how does one FORGET about the Chasm of Doom?)
By far the more interesting of the two is Sally Sargent, the tale of a High school girl who moonlights as a government agent . According to the comments at You Tube, the show was to be the flagship show for an adventure programming block.
While there were no horrible deaths ala' Johnny Quest in either episode, there was a great deal of violence and peril. Both shows, but particularly Sally Sargent, ran afoul of the public outcry against violence in kids shows which hit the US in the late 60s as a response to the social unrest of the time. In '68-'69 people were twitchy about pipe bombs. The silly supposition was that the violence was happening because kids were mindlessly repeating what they saw on the TV...and not...you know...because Bill Ayers is just an evil bastard.
This trend against any reproduceable violence only got worse as time went on and led to the generally insipid mess that was the US Animation scene from about 1969 until the late 80s. Particularly ironic given that Tatsuo Yoshida (the creator of Gatchaman Speed Racer and other shows that really started the anime industry) claimed both Marvel Comics and Johnny Quest among his inspirations.
Given the talent available at the time, one can only speculate where US TV animation would be today if standards and practices had not strangled it just as the Japanese animation industry was coming into its own.
UPDATE: Pulpjunkie corrects me in the comments. These were not Hanna-Barberra shows, but rather the last gasp of Terrytoons. More here.
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Photo from Strategy Page via Wonderduck.
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....navigating... not so much it would seem...

080826-N-6031Q-001 PACIFIC OCEAN (Aug. 16, 2008 ) The amphibious transport dock ship USS Mesa Verde (LPD 19) successfully completes its first of three shock trials events off the coast of Jacksonville, Fla. (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 3rd Class David R. Quillen/Released)
HT Galrahn
Original link here
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August 27, 2008
Via Colleen Doran who has further thoughts and reminiscences here.
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So here, via Instapundit... and utterly out of spite...is the ad the Obamatons don't want you to see.
Here is Obama's video response...as opposed to his Justice Department response.
As you can see, Obama's response is basically along the lines of "Ayers did his bad deeds a long time ago, I denounced them (when it became an issue) can't we just move on?"
If McCain were hanging out with Eric Rudolph...would they be saying that?
No.
Is this an unequal comparison?
No.
Ayers is not just a terrorist and a traitor, he started a terrorist organization, admired the Manson "family" bombed the capitol and the Pentagon and terrorized the citizens of the US.
Read about the bastard here.
Amongst his lesser crimes...
Ayers was an active participant in Weatherman's 1969 "Days of Rage" riots in Chicago, where nearly 300 members of the organization employed guerrilla-style tactics to viciously attack police officers and civilians alike, and to destroy massive amounts of property via vandalism and arson; their objective was to further spread their anti-war, anti-American message. Reminiscing on those riots, Ayers says pridefully: "We'd ... proven that it was possible -- we didn't all die, we were still there."
So much for the politics of hope.
Ayers is the lowest form of scum. Obama got his political start in Ayers living room, was mentored by him and has served with the murderous twit in various political and activist capacities. To denounce the actions of the guy,(when it became an issue), when Ayers is most decidedly unrepentant and still work with him is a thin rebuttal indeed.
A larger, more disturbing point is raised here by Jonah Goldberg (via)
I am amazed, simply amazed, at the amazement of many liberals that Ayers and Dohrn should matter to anyone.This goes to the heart of why the modern left is actively scary....and why they can't see that they are. They see nothing wrong with associating with a terrorist if the terrorist was a leftie...and they are so detached, ethically bankrupt and provincial that they cant see why this is an issue.
Now to be fair this fairly strong connection to Bill Ayers actually reinforces Obamas rather nebulous claim that he'll bring about the agent of "change".
Ayers again:
"Kill all the rich people. Break up their cars and apartments. Bring the revolution home, Kill your parents."
Yes its CHANGE!
The McCain ad on Ayers is perfectly legit in the questions it asks. It is up to Obama to answer them to the voters satisfaction.
Perhaps he will do that tonight...on the Obamacropolis.....

UPDATE: As I typed this Obama and the DNC have skipped the floor vote...which might have been, you know, close or something....and decided to just declare the Benevolent All Caring God Head Sun King to be the Lord Protector nominee.
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