September 09, 2018
Battening Down 2
It's still a week out, but this one is looking bad. It's very likely Florence will be CAT 4 or worse when it makes landfall. Meanwhile the ground here is saturated. There are still streets impassable due to high water and power is out in a few places due to a string of back to back rainstorms. As I type this, it is about to rain again.
Wilmington, Charleston and Hampton Roads are significant commercial nodes, with Wilmington in particular having a number of chemical and petroleum refineries the loss of which would be felt nationwide. Hampton Roads, in addition to the extensive port facilities has an inordinate chunk of the nations defense infrastructure (the worlds largest Navy Base, America's second largest Airforce Base and Army Transportation command). Even discounting the barrier islands, which are not where you want to be in any hurricane, many of the towns and cities along the peninsulas of North Carolina's sounds are most easily accessed via ferry. Any evacuation has to be ordered days in advance or the people will be trapped.
The situation is similar at my parents house down between Cape Hatteras and Wilmington, so I'm assuming those conditions extend from Norfolk to Wilmington. This means when the hurricane dumps its rain the ground will be soup. When 80 -100 knot winds arrive (let alone full cat 4 winds, which will cover a limited area) it will be knocking over trees, power poles, streetlights and causing taller buildings to settle and topple.
This storm is not getting as much coverage as it warrants and people seem oblivious to the menace that is approaching, Certainly, I'm not seeing anything like the sense of urgency I witnessed in the week before Isabel hit.
If this system follows its predicted path and has winds even 2/3 as high as predicted then this storm has the potential to be a first order catastrophe.
This could be very bad indeed.
Posted by: The Brickmuppet at
01:24 PM
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Posted by: J Greely at Mon Sep 10 10:14:59 2018 (tgyIO)
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Yes, listen to the man. Come to the Duck side. You'll like it here. We have rye bread.
Posted by: Wonderduck at Wed Sep 12 02:00:28 2018 (BBxfJ)
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