July 17, 2007
....co-ruminating...(?)
A researcher at the University of Missouri-Columbia has found that girls who talk very extensively about their problems with friends are likely to become more anxious and depressed.
( 'co-ruminating' sounds like something forbidden in Leviticus...which gives me a hankering for shrimp)
I assume they are talking about extreme cases but I have observed this sort of thing in female acquaintances.
OTOH from my limited observations of female behavior, in it's moderate form it's perfectly natural.
Get some girls who've had something bad occur...they'll talk in circles about it for hours one of 2 things will normally happen...
A: They'll transfer misery between them in ever increasing amounts until POW! critical mass is achieved and they have a good cry and thereby make themselves feel better.
...or...
B: 1 or more little goth girls will be born. *
Read the whole post, which, being written by a well adjusted female clinical Psychologist is notably free of the silly-ass snarking of a lonely bitter man.
* regards B....Note that if something goes horribly wrong...then an Emo kid might be born...which, of course, requires an intervention...
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July 15, 2007
Mag 6.5
Tsunami has hit....
Damage...
Rail Lines shut down...
OK the tsunami was 20 inches high....damage appears to be light.
whew!
Some bullet train lines are shut down as a precaution...3 or so houses collapsed.
Well this looks to be not nearly as serious as it could have been.
UPDATE 11:45 July 17: Between the aftershocks and nuclear leaks, things seem rather more serious than initially reported. As I type this 9 people are confirmed dead. It does not seem to be anything like the Kobe quake or the Great Kanto quake of 1923.
As an aside, the majority of radiation leaks seem at this point to have involved waste storage drums tipping over. One of the lessons learned is likely to be storage drum holders.
More disturbing to this layman is the fact that the company reps are saying that a 6.8 earthquake is beyond what the plant was designed to survive. If so then the plants performance is a credit to its designers and builders, however, given that historic times (indeed the last 80 years) have seen earthquakes in Japan registering as high as 8.4, the fact that a nuke plant not rated at 6.8 was built seems worrisome to me. The strongest earthquakes ever recorded, 9.2& 9.5 in Alaska and Chile respectively occurred quite recently in areas tectonically similar to Japan and indeed, very broadly speaking they are part of the same tectonic system (the ring of fire) .
I'd think that safety in a 9.0 magnitude would be a minimum. This is expensive to be sure, but less so than a cracked pressurized water reactor in a populated area.
More on the earthquake here, here, here, and here.
***************************************
Dispatch from the ministry of the obvious......
As I type this (11:45 AM July17) the BBC picture collage ends with this line...
"Nevertheless, some are clearly trying to make the best of a difficult situation."
Ya think?
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more...
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Or perhaps Rand is just suffering from sunburn and encephalitis.
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July 14, 2007
It's Bastille Day everybody!
Jerry Pournelle:
On July 14 I usually write an exposition on just what
happened on Bastille Day seven prisoners, all aristocrats, were
liberated. Four forgers, two madmen, and a young man who had
challenged the best swordsman in Paris to a duel, and had been
locked up by the king at the request of the lad's father. The
forgers vanished. The madmen were put into the common madhouse.
The young aristocrat took a revolutionary name, joined the
liberation forces, and was later beheaded during the Terror. The
garrison of the Bastille consisted of retired soldiers, many of
them missing limbs, and were as much waiters and attendants as
guards, since the Bastille contained only aristocrats who were
confined in relative comfort. The garrison was slaughtered and
their heads put on pikes.
The Revolution brought in a new vision of man and government.
Before it was over, French armies had ended the Venetian
Republic, the oldest republic in history. The Revolution ended
when Napoleon Bonaparte, Emperor of the French, failed to
incorporate all of Europe into a new Empire. Revolutions often
have unintended consequences. Few people seem to learn anything
other than "Next time for sure."
Of course many important things came from the French Revolution...but as today is Bastille Day we'll focus only the positive....
.........Oh yeah....the metric system!
Well that was short.
Here is a view from Europe by the late Eric von Kuehnelt-Leddihn, (who agrees with me about the metric system!)
Read the whole thing.
This concludes our special holiday presentation.
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The cost overruns of the LCS eat at the raison d’être of the whole program, a light cheap fast (expendable) combatant. Note though that the LCS is still vastly cheaper than it's big brother, the DD1000.
The DD 1000 is the size of a small Battleship* and cost about as much as a BB would. Yet these vessels are being pitched as destroyers, and their vapourware half sisters, the CG21,are to replace the DDs and CGs in the escort role....apparently by replacing the big guns with missile tubes and adding a better air defense system...which promises to push the cost up even higher.
The LCS is cheap for a destroyer, but has the armament of an OPV. It has all sorts of potential for improvement by adding various modules, but none of these give it any area defense capability, or any capability for surface combat beyond the 30 click range of the as yet non-operational NLOS missiles. With their big flex deck, impressive helicopter capability and good seakeeping they might make useful auxiliaries but they are an insanely expensive solution to all the problems they are intended to tackle and little more than toothless coffins for their crews in a hot war.
In response to this, as I pointed out on the old blog in April, there is an upgraded design being offered by General Dynamics see here , here and here.
One would assume that similar options would be available for the currently defunct LockMart design. One would be right.
This part time Coasties suggestion?
Scrap DD1000.
For fire support use ATACMS fired from VLS tubes, and develop the POLAR missile...a ship based derivative of the off the shelf MLRS system that the Navy rejected in the 90s. (but give it the unitary warhead of the current GMLRS). Buy something in the class of these 2 designs as replacements. Get ferocious about cost discipline. Buy as many of them as possible.Most importantly, buy enough modules, particularly ASW modules, that the ships really are multi mission. Numbers are what the navy needs...but it needs numbers of vessels that can take care of themselves. This strikes me as a far better compromise than the high-low mix as the low end vessels tempt the congresscritters to count them as full on units.
*The USNs first Dreadnoughts, the South Carolina and Michigan were 16,000 tons.
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My observations, having seen just 2 eps pretty much jive with his. That is, the show is cool.
The weird amalgamation of seemingly incompatible character designs is, distracting to some. Aside from the odd Matsumoto show I haven't really seen design variations in a show this extreme in nearly 20 years.
This show is fun but not really fluff, the villains we've met are actually scary, and there is the cool bit about it being based around actual historical events. (It's almost certainly occurring in 1840s during one of the later crackdown on "luxuries" ). The protagonists are a bunch of carnival types put out of work by the sudden illegality of their trade.
They've combined October Sky, Freaks, Kolchack :The Night Stalker and any number of martial arts shows...(some of my favorite things )and made a cartoon out of them. I am going to HAVE to watch this show...after all it's target demographic is....me.
Update: Don also has a videoblog now....which includes amongst other things...The Abacus Dance.
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It looks like (and the consensus of opinion seems to be that it is) a fake gun mount intended to deter maritime brigands.
While the Perrys have lost virtually ALL of their hot war punch with the removal of the MK 13 missile launchers, they still possess both a MK 75 76mm gun and an improved Phalanx upgraded to improve its effectiveness against surface targets. The ship is quite capable of dealing with pirates and such...of course neither the phalanx nor the 3inch gun look particularly fierce to an untrained eye, and at any rate the ship seems to have no weapons bearing forward aside from small arms and, perhaps .50 caliber weapons on the bridge wings.
So what IS this thing, a dummy gun to deter attackers, or an actual weapon like a 25-30mm cannon?
It certainly looks fake.
(Note: At time of posting there is a much better high res picture in the linked thread...)
As an aside, the USCG's 378' High endurance cutters now have the same fixed armament and have it better positioned, comparable range and speed, twin screws, better maneuverability and a shallower draft....and despite being twice as old with old and hard to maintain equipment, require a crew of 168 vs 300 . The Perrys certainly have better EW equipment, 2 vice 1 helicopters and their ASW tubes are still fitted, but it is hard to avoid thinking that the Coast Guard, with something similar to the 378's would be better (and more economical) to use on antipiracy duties.
Of course....we'd need to not have our new-builds be lemons first.
Perhaps we should just build more of the 'white needles of death' with updated systems (you know...systems still in production).
Anyway, does anyone have any contradictory ideas on the "dummy gun"?
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ORIGIN OF TERM "BLOG"
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July 13, 2007
well...
you read the post title.
The inhabitants of the Iraqi port city of Basra are in stark mortal terror of giant man eating badgers that they are blaming on the British Army.
The BBC covers the plague of badgers here, pointing out that....
Dr Ghazi Yaqub Azzam, deputy dean of Basra's veterinary college, speculated that the badgers were being driven towards the city because of flooding in marshland north of Basra.
The badgers are an indigenous species known as the "honey badger".
So there you have it!
There is nothing to see here...just chuckle and move along...don't think anything of it and pay no attention to the impolitic analysis below the fold....
more...
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July 11, 2007
The only thing standing between me leaving for Japan August 1 is a catastrophe or a reserve call up....
But one should not dwell on such things....
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...while this doesn't actually look to be "good"...It does have the potential to be gloriously bad,
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July 10, 2007
In addition to Kudzu, Marlette was a Pulitzer Prize winning political cartoonist as well.
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10 politically incorrect truths about human nature.
Reaction from the College of Arts and Letters in 3...2...1...
Ouch...
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July 08, 2007
more...
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