August 27, 2012

Oh HELL No

Worst.
Possible.
Path.


Bye bye Big Easy

Despite the ensuing calamity, neither Katrina nor Rita were direct hits on New Orleans. In the hours after Katrina everyone was rejoicing that the city had dodged a bullet as the winds were a strong category 1 and the surge barely topped the leeves. Only after Biloxi and Pascegoula were being hit did the New Orleans levees break (I guess the local politicians had been spending their levee money on hookers and blow ).  New Orleans was flooded, Biloxi and Pascegoula were razed.


Mississippi 2005: What a direct hit looks like.

Brendan Loy has more.
Shorter version:
If you are in New Orleans you need to be somewhere else.

Posted by: The Brickmuppet at 08:13 AM | Comments (5) | Add Comment
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1

It's not as bad as you think. Katrina was Cat 4 IIRC. At most, Isaac will end up Cat 1 and it may even stay down to "tropical storm" level.

Also, it looks to me like this storm track will make Isaac bring rain to a big region which can use it. Like Iowa.

Posted by: Steven Den Beste at Mon Aug 27 11:07:59 2012 (+rSRq)

2  Katrina was a 5 for a while but it degraded to 2 or 3 when it hit and it never really hit NOLA. , which was in the happy quadrant.

All the chaos from Katrina stemed from a storm that didn't really hit. This is going to be a TS or a 1 when it hits but it's coming in at an angle that will maximize the surge. This could be quite bad. If it was anywhere but NOLA...I'd shrug and be happy, as you are right that the rain is a welcome thing.

Posted by: The Brickmuppet at Mon Aug 27 12:48:15 2012 (e9h6K)

3  On the other hand, this time Jindal is governor.

Posted by: Steven Den Beste at Mon Aug 27 17:44:44 2012 (+rSRq)

4

It just made landfall, as a cat 1, and it's expected to fade back down to TS almost immediately. The thing that worries me most, if the predictions are correct (and from this point on I think they'll be very good) is that the damned thing isn't moving very fast. Southern Louisiana is going to be under the strong effect of the storm for almost two days.

Every one of the three cyclones I've been through moved past really rapidly, with the strong winds only lasting a few hours. Having a storm last as long as this one will would be pretty strange, and of course it increases the chance of random damage just because it increases the number of die rolls.

Posted by: Steven Den Beste at Tue Aug 28 20:12:46 2012 (+rSRq)

5 Yeah, also remember its dumping rain all that time.

 OTH by tomorrow afternoon the below sea-level areas will be in the happy quadrant and the water will be blown AWAY from the lake, at which point they should be in the clear.



Posted by: The Brickmuppet at Tue Aug 28 21:22:30 2012 (e9h6K)

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