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"In this area there have been an unusual number of delivery drivers attacked, several bitten and one mauled.In this area there have been an unusual number of delivery drivers attacked, several bitten and one mauled."
Oh crap, I knew this was the start of the zombie apocalypse!
"The stay at home orders are stressing the dogs I think"
Oh. That detail was probably relatively important.
Posted by: Rick C at Mon Apr 6 12:18:58 2020 (Iwkd4)
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My dogs are certainly being a lot more protective of our property than usual, though I would be hugely surprised if they bit anyone. Dogs very much take their emotional cues from their people, and if there people are stressed and upset, and themselves a little nervous when people arrive, the dogs are going to get defensive.
Posted by: David at Mon Apr 6 17:15:04 2020 (UmjNG)
Comet/2019 Y4 (ATLAS) is a large parabolic comet on what is estimated to be in a 4800 year orbit. Comets are not unusual of course, but this one has increased in brightness by four orders of magnitude in the month of March alone. In addition to being really big, it seems to be exceptionally rich in volitiles even for a comet and it will pass quite close to Earth. Comets can be quite unpredictable with regard to their brightness, but as of now it is looking very possible that this will be one of the small number classified as "great comets" over the last two thousand years.
It will be most visible from the Northern Hemisphere, but it will be viewable from the antipodes as it passes closer to the sun. It will pass within the orbit of Mercury and may explode or disintegrate.
It should be visible this month and will pass closest to Earth (72 million miles on May 23).
Meanwhile: in Ecuador (a place not known for its bitter winters)
I don't speak Spanish but this doesn't look good.
A lot of hope is being pinned on Winnie the Flu behaving like the regular flu and going away in the summer. The Ecuador situation does not seem to support that hope. Ecuador is on the actual equator (hence its name) and Guayaquil is the countries main port (not up in the mountains).Costal temperatures are moderated slightly by the Humbolt Current, but average temperature in Guayaquil in March is still 32.2C (about 90 degrees Fahrenheit) .
A Short Sharp Action off Isla Del TortugaThis is an immensely amusing story. It seems that the German owned, Portuguese flagged cruise ship RCGS Resolute suffered a mechanical casualty off the South American coast, and while drifting in international waters was approached and fired upon by the Venezuelan corvette BVL Naiguatá. The Venezuelan captain ordered the passenger vessel to follow it into harbor, and when the captain refused attempted to ram and board the Resolute.
Unsurprisingly, given that the Resolute was disabled, ramming was achieved.
Alas, as Resolute is an ice strengthened ship designed to cruise off Antarctica she suffered no damage, while BVL Naiguatá suffered sufficient damage that she capsized and sank ignominiously.
Comparison photo via The Week.
French, U.S., Dutch, and Columbian naval forces are all now on the alert for any further shenanigans from the ABV.
Paitent Zero
Way back in the before time, when one could go out for tacos and toilet paper was not the coin of the realm, Brickmuppet Blog noted with interest evidence linking the Worrisome Woe from Wuhan to the two microbiology research centers in the city which spawned it.
Now there's this:
This fellow used to be very bullish on China until a few years ago, so this is not a partisan hit-job. He thinks he's found patient zero.
National Review has an analysis of his video here.
Now to be clear, this facility she heads is a different lab from the Class 4 facility also in Wuhan. Dr. Zhengli Shi appears to have been studying ways to mitigate coronaviruses, examples of which had caused SARS and MERS. There is no real evidence that this is a bioweapon per se. Evidence IS strong however that this outbreak is due to a lab accident. This is in part because that the bats, that are the presumed vectors were not for sale at the infamous wet-market and live nearly a thousand clicks from Wuhan. Everything, including the paper mentioned in the video, points to a lab accident, one that likely claimed the life of a scientist at the lab, Huang Yanling, a graduate student at the virology lab.
From the National Review article linked above.
She has disappeared, had her info removed from the labs personnel page (though her name remains) and, the Chinese government vehemently denies that she's dead, but can't seem to find her to refute the matter.
What sort of lab accident might it have been? Well the now 'memory-holed' report contained the following passage.
In one of their studies, 155 bats including Rhinolophus affinis were captured in Hubei province, and other 450 bats were captured in Zhejiang province 4. The expert in collection was noted in the Author Contributions (JHT). Moreover, he was broadcasted for collecting viruses on nation-wide newspapers and websites in 2017 and 2019 7,8. He described that
he was once by attacked by bats and the blood of a bat shot on his skin. He knew the extreme danger of the infection so he quarantined himself for 14 days 7. In another accident, he quarantined himself again because bats peed on him. He was once thrilled for capturing
a bat carrying a live tick.
Additionally, there is this...
Surgery was performed on the caged animals and the tissue samples were collected for DNA and RNA extraction and sequencing 4, 5. The tissue samples and contaminated trashes were source of pathogens. They were only ~280 meters from the seafood market. The WHCDC was also adjacent to the Union Hospital (Figure 1, bottom) where the first group
of doctors were infected during this epidemic. It is plausible that the virus leaked around and some of them contaminated the initial patients in this epidemic, though solid proofs are needed in future study.
So there is a lot of ways that this could have gotten out, especially given china's track record with these things (SARS for instance).
The referenced report was written and submitted for peer review by Chinese scientists attempting to track down the origins of the virus. It was purged from the internet by the Chinese government in mid to late February. Of course this is the internet so "purged" is relative. A copy has been in the secure magic smoke tubes beneath the Guano mines of Niue since Febuary 16th. Read the whole report. It's short.
This does strongly support what was being reported here and elsewhere back in February, that the outbreak escaped from a lab. The reason that these viruses were being so intensely studied in China (and Canada, and the U.S.A. and elsewhere) is because their terrifying potential had been realized after SARS.
So it does not necessarily follow that this is a bioweapon. For one thing, this would likely be much more lethal if that was the case.
That doesn't mean that such a development is not a concern for the future, as this passage from the "banned report" reminds us.
The second laboratory was ~12 kilometers from the seafood market and belonged to
Wuhan Institute of Virology, Chinese Academy of Sciences 1, 9, 10. This laboratory
reported that the Chinese horseshoe bats were natural reservoirs for the severe acute
respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV) which caused the 2002-3 pandemic 9.
The principle investigator participated in a project which generated a chimeric virus using
the SARS-CoV reverse genetics system, and reported the potential for human
emergence 10. A direct speculation was that SARS-CoV or its derivative might leak from
the laboratory.
So, both Dr. Zengli Shi and the other, military operated lab, had, in the past, been involved in creating chimeric coronaviruses. Thus, while there is no evidence that this bug is artificial or a bioweapon, the potential is certainly there and the disruption of our society that this pathogen (which seems to kill between 1 and 4 percent of its victims) has wrought should be a warning for us all.
For now though we need to focus on the matter at hand. Where it came from is not as important in the immediate future as how we deal with it. In the longer term though, we need to ensure that we are prepared for such occurrences moving forward and to the greatest extent possible decouple ourselves from the malign influence of the Chinese Communist Party.
Coronachan: The personification of malign Chicom influence.
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It's a lousy bioweapon, but it's plausible that it's a containment failure of some experiment. The only thing we know for sure is China is asshole.
Posted by: Pixy Misa at Sat Apr 4 21:52:35 2020 (PiXy!)
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"the Chinese government vehemently denies that she's dead, but can't seem to find her to refute the matter."
Sure, that seems plausible in the land of massive facial recognition.
Posted by: Rick C at Mon Apr 6 10:00:59 2020 (Iwkd4)
When you deliver a 15 pound bag of Nishiki Rice, which has been a rare item in and out of stock for months, and when you deliver said item after 7PM, AND it's pouring down rain, you should ask yourself the following multiple choice question:
I should....
A: avail myself of the doorbell to let the customer know it is here.
B: avail myself of a driver release bag of some sort so that the parcel does not become a wet gooey mess covered in slugs.
C: Position the parcel so that it will not will trip the unsuspecting customer and make him fall down the front steps in the pouring rain when he leaves for work at 03:50.
D: Neither AB nor C are true, if he breaks his neck I've got one less stop on my route and I can come back and loot his corpse for the pre-softened rice, escargot and the XP bonus that a rare item provides.
E: AB&C are all true.
Take your time...
While you ponder that inscrutable ethical conundrum, here is one of those precious moments that makes the new Animal Crossing what it is.
Hobby Space News of the commercial space industry A Babe In The Universe Rather Eclectic Cosmology Encyclopedia Astronautica Superb spacecraft resource The Unwanted Blog Scott Lowther blogs about forgotten aerospace projects and sells amazingly informative articles on the same. Also, there are cats. Transterrestrial Musings Commentary on Infinity...and beyond! Colony WorldsSpace colonization news! The Alternate Energy Blog It's a blog about alternate energy (DUH!) Next Big Future Brian Wang: Tracking our progress to the FUTURE. Nuclear Green Charles Barton, who seems to be either a cool curmudgeon, or a rational hippy, talks about energy policy and the terrible environmental consequences of not going nuclear Energy From Thorium Focuses on the merits of thorium cycle nuclear reactors WizBang Current events commentary...with a wiz and a bang The Gates of Vienna Tenaciously studying a very old war The Anchoress insightful blogging, presumably from the catacombs Murdoc Online"Howling Mad Murdoc" has a millblog...golly! EaglespeakMaritime security matters Commander Salamander Fullbore blackshoe blogging! Belmont Club Richard Fernandez blogs on current events BaldilocksUnderstated and interesting blog on current events The Dissident Frogman French bi-lingual current events blog The "Moderate" VoiceI don't think that word means what they think it does....but this lefty blog is a worthy read nonetheless. Meryl Yourish News, Jews and Meryls' Views Classical Values Eric Scheie blogs about the culture war and its incompatibility with our republic. Jerry Pournell: Chaos ManorOne of Science fictions greats blogs on futurism, current events, technology and wisdom A Distant Soil The website of Colleen Dorans' superb fantasy comic, includes a blog focused on the comic industry, creator issues and human rights. John C. Wright The Sci-Fi/ Fantasy writer muses on a wide range of topics. Now Read This! The founder of the UK Comics Creators Guild blogs on comics past and present. The Rambling Rebuilder Charity, relief work, roleplaying games Rats NestThe Art and rantings of Vince Riley Gorilla Daze Allan Harvey, UK based cartoonist and comics historian has a comicophillic blog! Pulpjunkie Tim Driscoll reviews old movies, silents and talkies, classics and clunkers. Suburban Banshee Just like a suburban Leprechaun....but taller, more dangerous and a certified genius. Satharn's Musings Through TimeThe Crazy Catlady of The Barony of Tir Ysgithr アニ・ノート(Ani-Nouto) Thoughtful, curmudgeonly, otakuism that pulls no punches and suffers no fools. Chizumatic Stephen Den Beste analyzes anime...with a microscope, a slide rule and a tricorder. Wonderduck Anime, Formula One Racing, Sad Girls in Snow...Duck Triumphalism Beta Waffle What will likely be the most thoroughly tested waffle evah! Zoopraxiscope Too In this thrilling sequel to Zoopraxiscope, Don, Middle American Man of Mystery, keeps tabs on anime, orchids, and absurdities. Mahou Meido MeganekkoUbu blogs on Anime, computer games and other non-vital interests Twentysided More geekery than you can shake a stick at Shoplifting in the Marketplace of Ideas Sounds like Plaigarism...but isn't Ambient IronyAll Meenuvians Praise the lathe of the maker! Hail Pixy!!