I agree with a lot of his analysis, though calling it a "smart call" rather misses the point. Palin was the only candidate talking about the inherently corrupting nature of corporatism and the worrisome implications of an increasingly insulated political elite. I'd have liked to see her run to push those issues.
1
Meh. When I think of "CEO presidents", two names come up, Hoover and George W. Bush. To expand a little further, Bloomsberg in NYC. CEO doesn't seem to be a particularly reliable prep school for executive office - the usual PolySci argument is that successful CEOs tend to work in an absolutist hierarchical environment, and thus aren't well prepared for the back-and-forth of dealing with the trinity of press, legislature, and the executive departments.
But in a choice between Romney and Cain, I'll go with Cain. I'd prefer a frankenstein's monster amalgam of Gingrich's loquacity, Perry's executive experience, and Cain's Tea Party instincts, but I'm told that chimaeras aren't eligible to stand for federal office.
Yet.
Posted by: Mitch H. at Mon Sep 26 16:53:28 2011 (jwKxK)
2
Constitutionally, as long as they were born in the US and are sentient and 35 years
old, chimeras can run.
************************************
I do share some of your concerns.
However, executive experience is a plus, as is an understanding of how
the regulatory and tax policies affect business.
If he were just a random CEO like Perot or something, I'd be even more
squeamish, but he chaired the National Resturaunt Association and was on
the board of directors of one of the Federal Reserve banks, so he does
have some experience in horse trading. Much would rest on how he filled
out his cabinet, ie: if he seeks yes men or idea men. He has said he
wants Gingrich in some capacity. Gingrich is an idea man to a fault, so
that bodes rather well.
Part of our problem is a permanent political class. Someone like Cain is
much more in keeping with the theory of the republic. How well that
theory can hold up today and how well Cain would translate into practice
are the questions of the moment.In any event he is quite unlikely to
represent a step down at this point.
Posted by: The Brickmuppet at Mon Sep 26 19:02:46 2011 (EJaOX)
Seems like we'd all be doing a public service to report all the cases where Democratic supporters come out in favor of violence against Republicans, wouldn't we?
A Snowballs Chance in a Blast Furnace
This post drifts into the partisan arena below the fold. It may contain images that some will find disturbing, or unpleasant.
Everyone ought to read more Yotsuba&!
As compensation for this, here is the very antithesis of partisanship... Yotsuba&! producing less worrisome images.
For those who dare, hit "more" to get on with the politics...
1
Your judgment of her performance in a debate is flawed. You assume Obama has testicles.
Posted by: ubu at Sun Sep 11 00:37:29 2011 (GfCSm)
2
Meh. It isn't just the "establishment" that's turned against Palin, it's also large sections of the commentariat and the upper ends of the base. If Obama is a textbook example of narcissim, Palin's executive performance and recent behavior has begin to resemble that associated with borderline personality disorder. She's left a trail of chaos, polarization, and disorder behind her which is worse than worrisome - it's exhausting. Exhausting isn't what I look for in a leader.
I don't know, she's young yet, by political standards. Maybe a sojourn in the wilderness might give her that "bottom" which a statesman needs. As it is, her lack of organization and tendency to act as a strange attractor is unwelcome.
And I do believe that the Times is suddenly developing Strange New Respect for Palin because they're hoping to maximize Republican entropy in the primary season. A veritable golden apple of division, as it were.
Posted by: Mitch H. at Mon Sep 12 14:40:43 2011 (jwKxK)
Honestly, I think she accomplishes far more as a kingmaker then she could in reaching for the crown herself. In going for the crown, she would have to sell herself, and the venom that is out there for her would be at it's most potent.
She has several things working against her in a presidential run that are muted in her current role:
1. Everything that forced her out of the governorship, she would get 10000x worse as president. Leaving raises a real question about her ability to stay the course in the presidency. If she got the presidency and resigned, she would do enormous damage to the causes she supports. In her current role, the attacks are blunted a lot more.
2. I know a lot of people who have bought into the propaganda that she is dumb and stupid. I don't agree, having looked into her record, but these are ordinary people who are more blinded by the stereotype made of her then I would have thought. She would have to overcome this stereotype while it was being viciously reinforced.
3. She would have to take policy stances that may not always be popular with her base to attract a wider base of support and get elected. This would dilute and weaken her message.
I think she's better and does more where she is then she could in running. Personally, I would respect her walking away from that power more then I would succumbing to it's lures when the odds are so stacked against her.
StargazerA5
Posted by: StargazerA5 at Fri Sep 16 05:36:19 2011 (lZbWj)
4
StargazerS: You make some good points and I don't disagree that she has been very effective for the cause as an advocate, and in rallying the base.
I do share most of your concerns. Note the title of the post.
However, your point 1 is actually non-applicable to the oval office. Unlike the Alaska Governor circa 2009, the president can have a legal defense fund and it is not nearly so easy to throw up utterly fatuous ethics complaints. There is a whole office dedicated to dealing with such matters while allowing presidents to do their jobs. Additionally, it is rare indeed for the POTUS to have to attend a court proceeding and therefore eat into time allotted to executive duties, the latter being a big reason she had to step down.
So performance in the office is not a concern to me.
If she were to jump into the race, I think she'd add quite a bit to the conversation. Gingrich, who has less of a chance than she does certainly has.
The big worry is that (as you say) that she has been so thoroughly defamed that, if she were to get the nomination, the pucker factor leading up to the election would be quite high indeed. I have no doubt she can win the debates handilly, but that might not be enough to overcome preconceived notions or the visceral class bigotry I've seen directed at her.
OTOH, she is despised by the K-Street establishment types of both parties. This is tactically a complication, but from a civics perspective strikes me as a feature and not a bug. It feeds into that aforementioned slim chance that she could actually unify a broad coalition if she could get her message out. I additionally think that occasionally electing someone who hails from a background far removed from the Ivy's is good for the republic, not only because of the very real notion that such credentialism is becoming a sort of aristocracy, but because those few colleges seem to have a disturbing homogeneity in their worldview that is quite dismissive of the concerns of the citizenry as a whole and seems to limit their options. Again this is an argument concerned mainly with civics and idealism rather than the long odds it implies. I have a soft spot for the Quixotic.
Posted by: The Brickmuppet at Fri Sep 16 15:13:09 2011 (EJaOX)
A More Pernicious MadnessReuters reports on an EU study that indicates that nearly 40% of Europeans suffer from mental illness. The definition of mental illness in the study seems on one hand to be rather broad, as it includes insomnia and anxiety. On the other hand I don't think the government study is likely to recognize THIS for the madness it is...
At the instigation of a mentally unbalanced bee-keeper, the similarly
unbalanced European Court (EuGH), the highest court in the EUSSR, is
considering whether honeybees are allowed to approach genetically
modified plants and take their pollen. If they are not, then, first, the
resultant honey must be removed from supermarket shelves and burned in a
carbon-neutral fashion. Second, bees will be forbidden to approach
inappropriate blossoms.
OK the translation is imperfect...but damn. Due to hysteria over geneticall modified crops, the EU is going to forbid...the bees...from approaching politically incorrect flowers.
Bee-girl is by Nardak, who had nothing to do with the added text.
Note that being surrounded by such dingalings would seem to indicate that the responses of anxiety and insomnia are actually a sign of sanity.
Seriously, it was a really good exchange. I was surprised.
Despite the focus on Perry and Romney several of the others were quite strong. Perry was not stellar but he gave a credible and solid performance and Romney seemed to hold his own.
Cain did well in previous debates and he has grown as a candidate. This was his best performance ever, with answers that were not only well delivered but remarkable in their specificity.
Thank goodness for Newt...he is not executive material but he is a damned good idea man and these debates are much better for his presence. He actually did hit it out of the park a couple of times. He needs to at least be an adviser in the next administration.
Huntsman came off better than he has before, in that he got to talk, and though he likely did himself no favors with the base its obvious he is a thoughtful guy.
All in all it was one of the better discussions of our problems I've seen.
OTOH the hosts did not cover themselves in glory as they tried (quite unsuccessfully) to start petty fights and in one remarkably patronizing moment, they brought in a Hispanic reporter to ask questions about immigration...and then dismissed him.
1
That's about what I took from it. I was really surprised that Perry wasn't better; he's usually very good in debates. Of course, the opponents he's had to deal with in the past haven't been particularly strong, either. He was obviously prepared to pitch a lot more than catch. Romney definitely controlled the exchanges between himself and Perry.
Would love to see Newt as Chief-of-Staff...think that would fit him to a T.
Note: Not a real Economist cover. Was pilfered from 4-Chan Apologies for the profanity....but damn.
There may be a thin silver lining to the downgrade, in that interest rates may go up substantially. This is terrible news for the economy of course but it will help those who are on fixed incomes with savings.
Not only can’t the Super Committee fail, it’ll be under enormous public
pressure to reach a grand bargain. That’s the silver lining in this
cloud — they have to get serious now. They have no choice.
Pretty much all the other ramifications seem to...umm...suck.
It's Not Politics..It's History
That is my story and I am sticking to it.
...and even if it was politics I don't have to put it below the fold 'cause to be appalled by it (or to suffer from cognitive dissonance) you'd have to click on it.
In case you did click on it and got yourself all appalled and stuff, then as a palate cleanser here is a remarkably cute catgirl with some fish that was drawn by Toshihide Sano.
The Above link is his PixyV page. His official website was here but is either inactive or is blocking access from the US.
Stupidity ≠Malice
...but the results are hard to tell apart. The Anchoress has a post up regarding the current administration that some will find off-putting, but it's a good opportunity to touch on something I've wanted to...
..What?
Oh right. It's politics...so it goes below the fold...
1
I did read one account about how "pulsing" the river flow tended to produce a scrubbing effect that helps keep the river bed from silting up - so it's entirely possible that this is being done, not purely for environmental purposes, but also to help keep the river navigable. Believable and a whole lot more palatable. Any idea whether it's correct?
Posted by: Avatar_exADV at Mon Jun 27 20:42:59 2011 (pWQz4)
2
I can find no reference to any rationale for the pulse aside from
helping sturgeon (not an ignoble goal of course).
see here: http://www.connectmidmissouri.com/news/story.aspx?id=598394
This seems to fit with the American Thinker story. They had canceled the
pulse because of the rising water but had already filled the reservoirs
in anticipation of the pulse leaving nowhere for the water to go.
A little incompetence and very bad luck.
The navigability rationale you mentioned would seem to make sense,
that's how they
used to clean out city
drainage systems. However, I'm not sure rivers respond the same.
I couldn't find any reference to the pulse meing mentioned in
association with navigation issues other than this
from 2009
OMAHA
– A small pulse of water will be put into
the Missouri River beginning Mar. 21 to benefit the endangered pallid
sturgeon, the Army Corps of Engineers announced today. The pulse
complies with the requirements of the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service’s
2003 Amended Biological Opinion. Previous pulses were conducted in May
2006 and March 2008.
The pulse will coincide with the annual increase in releases from
Gavins
Point Dam, near Yankton, S.D., to provide flows for commercial
navigation and other downstream uses from Sioux City, Iowa, to the
Mississippi River. This will be the seventh consecutive year only
minimum navigation flows will be supported because of drought impacts on
upstream reservoirs.
The pulse seems to be purely a happy sturgeon thing, but in the quoted
case coincided with raising the water level for navigation.
Posted by: The Brickmuppet at Wed Jun 29 00:13:42 2011 (EJaOX)
3
There is, of course, the view that stupidity is the natural defense of our leaders for their actions, protecting them from eyes that might seek the hidden motivations for the works of their hands. In other words, are they just stupid, or are they just pretending to be?
Afterall, at least in foreign policy:
"Generally, US foreign policy is remarkably consistent and cohesive, a deadly success, given the interests it represents. Those who see it as repeatedly befuddled are themselves revealing their own befuddlement.
Sometimes the policymakers themselves seize upon incompetence as a cover. -- Social Historian and author Michael Parenti
Posted by: Steven P. Cornett at Sun Jul 3 23:36:36 2011 (b5lVB)
One theory is that this was a false-flag operation to create evidence that would support gun control.
It has long been a leftist talking point that "most of the guns being used in Mexico are coming from the US", which was being used to argue that gun sales should be severely curtailed and subject to all kinds of limits. Problem with it was that it wasn't true.
So the theory goes that they decided to make it true.
If so, they were blitheringly stupid, but at least it makes some sense. I don't know if it's the case, however.
2
Yeah, I've heard that too. I've tended to dismiss it as too conspiratorial....and yet....
The scary thing is that that is the only thing that makes this horrific fiasco make any sort of sense....Of course this 'Reichstag fire' theory is actually scarier than if it was just incompetence.
Posted by: The Brickmuppet at Sat Jun 18 22:42:44 2011 (EJaOX)
OH
There wasn't a rapture today....it was that other 'r' word. RUBICON
President Obama has decided that neither the war powers act nor the constitution apply to the adventurewar kinetic military action in Libya.
Note that in 2003, despite the fact that we had been technically at war with them since '91 and Iraq was giving bonuses to the families of suicide bombers who killed our allies the Israelis, Bush went before congress and got an Authorization for Use of Military Force Against Iraq. Despite this there are those who say that this was insufficient and that 'ChimpyMcBushitler' went to war illegally. I'm sure that those who consider the Iraq war illegal will be absolutely beside themselves over this.
1
"I'm sure that those who consider the Iraq war illegal will be absolutely beside themselves over this. Any minute now...Yessirree..."
Actually, The Usual Suspects (Michael Moore and Cindy Sheenan, for example) are upset about this. The thing is, The Usual Suspects aren't getting any screen time now, because the "fair and unbiased" mainstream media doesn't want to make their BFF the Obama administration look bad. It seems the Useful Idiots have outlived their usefulness...
Posted by: Peter the Not-so-Great at Sat May 21 17:37:08 2011 (wL7w9)
2
With a few hours remaining before time ran out, Obama did finally ask Congress for an AUMF.
3
What I'm reading is that he sent an 11th hour notification, but that the
notification was of his belief that the War Powers Act does not apply.
From the linked article:
In an effort to satisfy those arguing he needs to seek congressional
authorization to continue US military activity in accordance with the
War Powers Resolution, President Obama wrote a letter to congressional
leaders this afternoon suggesting that the role is now so "limited†he
does not need to seek congressional approval.
Emphasis mine.
If there has been a AUMF request I've rolled a critical failure on my Bing-fu. (Not an impossibility by any means)
Posted by: The Brickmuppet at Sun May 22 01:39:40 2011 (EJaOX)
Althouse Notes the Other Trump
Now, those of us on the right have been pointing out that the little fascist is start-raving-cuckoo-for-cocca-puffs for years now and been ignored.
In Which I Pariah-fy Myself
I have long had a great deal of respect for Allan West, ( R, FL-22).
Below is video of him giving a superb speech at the close of CEPAC 2011. The speech itself is quite good, but that is not why I'm commenting on it. It is after all being widely shown throughout the rightosphere.
I'm commenting because this clip, which I got via Cdr. Salamander, has footage I had previously missed...Footage that bothers me.
West's speech begins about 8 and a half minutes in, but it is what happens prior that I find disturbing. Specifically, West is introduced by a military service member in uniform who proceeds to make a very short but quite partisan statement at a completely partisan function...I remind you that he is in uniform.
I like West a lot, but this is a no-no.
A big no-no.
It is not acceptable for the military to get involved in politics in any way. That is how republics die. I would expect West, who is a history buff ought to know that. He is certainly aware of Department of Defense Directive 1344.10 (and for the USCG, the Hatch Act).
It is inevitable that when one party is the one that spat on our military and still treats them with barely disguised contempt, that many in the military lean the other way...when out of uniform and off duty. It is not in any way acceptable for them to be expressing that as military members in uniform.
As I mentioned during the McChrystal fiasco, we have many republics to the south of us in this hemisphere.Most had the military get involved in politics in some way.That did not turn out well.
This is disturbing. But not as disturbing as the fact that I've not heard ANYONE comment on this, which bothers me rather more than the indiscretion itself.
UPDATE: Over at Cdr Salamander's, people are commenting on this impropriety. I note that they all seem to be current or former military.
UPDATE 2:The video has been removed by the user. A slightly shorter version with the 8 minute introduction removed can be seen here. It contains the bit relevant to my concern as well as the otherwise excellent speech. The full C-SPAN vid with intro is available on C-Span for now here
A Simple Bit of Math
I don't post as much uninformed blather on policy ideas as I used to because: 1: There are others who do it better. 2: The topic depresses me because there are few options open to us and all are varying levels of grim. 3: There are those few people who can make informed posts on policy.
Jack made a good point last week over at USNIBlog,
Something’s
gotta give. In 2009, the U.S. spent $187 billion (more than China’s
defense budget) paying off interest on government debt.
He goes on. It's short. Read the whole thing.
In the late 19th
early 20th century when other developing countries were going deep into
debt for short term gain, Japan had a pretty simple defense strategy.
"Rich nation=strong army"
This was the slogan of all mainstream political parties there for something like 40 years. Men of great substance and ability like Eiichi Shibusawa were encouraged to be entrepreneurs and helped to bring Japan into the modern era.
Around the turn of the century Argentina developed a rather different policy... which I'll paraphrase with all due malice as "hope and change".
Argentina had many advantages over Japan, being an established
republic that was on a par with the USA and only a little behind Europe
technologically.
Argentina has never recovered.
Japan became a world power and was quite successful until they went off their trolley in the '30s.
I see many parallels between then and now.
I do not like them.
The options we have now, as I said earlier, are quite limited. They will grow more limited as time passes. We MAY have until 2013-14 to regain steering, and turn the ship of state away from the iceberg we are approaching. We are so close and our inertia is so great that we will suffer damage regardless, but as time passes our ability to meaningfully change course, even if we regain full helm control is steadily reduced, until oblivion is inevitable no mater what, so time is of the essence.
Of course, right now we don't have the bridge and have control of only one engine room....so the only thing we can realistically do in the next two years is reduce our speed.
1
To be fair, Japan was also undergoing an industrial revolution, which produces a high growth rate as labor is shifted from subsistence farming to industrial goods.
At the end of the day, we've got one big advantage - most of the alternative powers have the same problems we've got, except worse. If the wave breaks, it's going to hammer most of them under before it gets to us. (Not that everything will then be hunky-dory here, but you know what they say about outrunning the tiger.)
And in a worst-case scenario, it's not as if the US doesn't have, well... an incomparable military, thousands of nukes, and absolutely unquestioned mastery of the seas. If the world order breaks down to the point where it becomes "grab what you can get" time, we're in a good position for grabbing and getting. (For that matter, we could stave off the decline for a long, long time just by receiving subsidies from other countries who don't want to see an over-gunned US backed into a corner. You could even argue that this is already happening - you didn't think that China was investing in US government bonds because they liked the returns, did you?)
Posted by: Avatar_exADV at Tue Jan 18 19:01:13 2011 (pWQz4)
2
Yes. Japan benefited from the impressive growth curve that came from industrialization. However, they recognized that growing their economy was a sine qua non of having a strong military.
Other developing countries did not and became colonies. Yes we have an impressive military but that will pass very quickly if we are bankrupt.
I don't think we'll get overrun, we still have nukes, but that is a worrisome thing to have as ones plan B, rather than plan Z sublevel 5 last resort.
Posted by: The Brickmuppet at Sun Jan 30 06:02:39 2011 (EJaOX)
Hobby Space News of the commercial space industry A Babe In The Universe Rather Eclectic Cosmology Encyclopedia Astronautica Superb spacecraft resource The Unwanted Blog Scott Lowther blogs about forgotten aerospace projects and sells amazingly informative articles on the same. Also, there are cats. Transterrestrial Musings Commentary on Infinity...and beyond! Colony WorldsSpace colonization news! The Alternate Energy Blog It's a blog about alternate energy (DUH!) Next Big Future Brian Wang: Tracking our progress to the FUTURE. Nuclear Green Charles Barton, who seems to be either a cool curmudgeon, or a rational hippy, talks about energy policy and the terrible environmental consequences of not going nuclear Energy From Thorium Focuses on the merits of thorium cycle nuclear reactors WizBang Current events commentary...with a wiz and a bang The Gates of Vienna Tenaciously studying a very old war The Anchoress insightful blogging, presumably from the catacombs Murdoc Online"Howling Mad Murdoc" has a millblog...golly! EaglespeakMaritime security matters Commander Salamander Fullbore blackshoe blogging! Belmont Club Richard Fernandez blogs on current events BaldilocksUnderstated and interesting blog on current events The Dissident Frogman French bi-lingual current events blog The "Moderate" VoiceI don't think that word means what they think it does....but this lefty blog is a worthy read nonetheless. Meryl Yourish News, Jews and Meryls' Views Classical Values Eric Scheie blogs about the culture war and its incompatibility with our republic. Jerry Pournell: Chaos ManorOne of Science fictions greats blogs on futurism, current events, technology and wisdom A Distant Soil The website of Colleen Dorans' superb fantasy comic, includes a blog focused on the comic industry, creator issues and human rights. John C. Wright The Sci-Fi/ Fantasy writer muses on a wide range of topics. Now Read This! The founder of the UK Comics Creators Guild blogs on comics past and present. The Rambling Rebuilder Charity, relief work, roleplaying games Rats NestThe Art and rantings of Vince Riley Gorilla Daze Allan Harvey, UK based cartoonist and comics historian has a comicophillic blog! Pulpjunkie Tim Driscoll reviews old movies, silents and talkies, classics and clunkers. Suburban Banshee Just like a suburban Leprechaun....but taller, more dangerous and a certified genius. Satharn's Musings Through TimeThe Crazy Catlady of The Barony of Tir Ysgithr アニ・ノート(Ani-Nouto) Thoughtful, curmudgeonly, otakuism that pulls no punches and suffers no fools. Chizumatic Stephen Den Beste analyzes anime...with a microscope, a slide rule and a tricorder. Wonderduck Anime, Formula One Racing, Sad Girls in Snow...Duck Triumphalism Beta Waffle What will likely be the most thoroughly tested waffle evah! Zoopraxiscope Too In this thrilling sequel to Zoopraxiscope, Don, Middle American Man of Mystery, keeps tabs on anime, orchids, and absurdities. Mahou Meido MeganekkoUbu blogs on Anime, computer games and other non-vital interests Twentysided More geekery than you can shake a stick at Shoplifting in the Marketplace of Ideas Sounds like Plaigarism...but isn't Ambient IronyAll Meenuvians Praise the lathe of the maker! Hail Pixy!!