Brickmuppet Blog 2.0

February 24, 2019

While We Were Distracted, Boreas Went Color Blind

Here in the U.S., when making snow cream, we must be on alert for the occasional patch of yellow snow and just refrain altogether when it is pink.

In parts of Russia now, they long for such simple, days.

Pink and yellow are bad, but green and black are just wrong.

At least with our orange alligators you can see them coming and avoid the problem.

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March 19, 2018

Well....These Two are Kind of Impressive

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September 13, 2016

Hanjin Ships Allowed to Offload (in U.S. Ports at Least)

About two weeks ago Hanjin Lines, Korea's largest shipping company, filed for bankruptcy protections. This has worrying implications for the shipping industry in general, but the story escalated quickly.

Ports subsequently blocked Hanjin vessels from docking out of fear that they would not be paid docking fees. This stranded the crews on ships with dwindling supplies of food and fuel. This was partially mitigated last week, when a court ruling enabled certain U.S. ports to allow Hanjin ships already en route to tie up and offload. However, There are still issues...

Creditors have sought an arrest warrant against the Seaspan Efficiency, a ship hauling cargo for Hanjin that was due to arrive in Savannah. Wang said the cargo concerned amounted to just around $800,000 and that he was confident the parties involved could come to an agreement.

Additionally, things are not being resolved so smoothly elsewhere in the world where numerous vessels are still stranded at sea with dwindling supplies. Lloyd's List has an interactive map.

Screengrabbed from Lloyd's Sept 13, 15:46

This is, as one might expect, playing havoc with the global supply chain.

"The fallout of Hanjin Shipping is like Lehman Brothers to the financial markets,â€ Wang said. "Itâ€™s a huge, huge nuclear bomb. It shakes up the supply chain, the cornerstone of globalization.â€

This will also likely cause an increase in shipping costs going into the Christmas season.

Note though, that the Baltic Dry Index, has recovered from its alarming slump earlier in the year, so, leading indicators are, at least mixed (unless you're in Australia...Then you're doomed apparently.)

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March 13, 2016

Rainbow Swans

If one sees a major and unpleasant event approaching, it can't really be called a black swan can it?

To wit:

The London Telegraph has an overview of all the things that are going wrong at once in the world economy.

Two of the world's three major central banks have slashed interest rates in to negative territory.

We've noted the decline in the shipping industry (focusing particularly on the Baltic Dry Index) for a while. This BBC article points out the scale of the issue.

And here's the thing - the dry bulk index - also called the Baltic Dry Bulk Index - saw a peak of 11,000 points in May of 2008, just before the global financial crisis.
This year it has hit fresh record lows and skirted around the 300 points mark.

What this tells you is that global trade is nowhere near the levels it was pre-2008.
So the 'green shoots of recovery' you hear policy-makers and economists talking about, that's not being seen on the global shipping routes or lanes.

October 23, 2015

The Journey of Learning Never Ends...

Tonight I discovered that Buffalo Bob's Mild Alligator Jerky is not a particularly delectable comestible.

Rather the opposite in fact.

So much so that I felt the need to post about it.

Here is a palate cleanser.

Neopolitan by Iesupa

Be advised that ice cream can be bad for you....especially this kind.

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June 09, 2015

Customer Service

A recent filler post generated more comments than any other in the history of this blog. While I do not, in general, subscribe to the creative fallacy that is "chasing the hit"; filler posts are generally compensation for a lack of regular content. Thus, it seems prudent and polite to take stock of what is generating reader interest.

After careful analysis of both the content of the much discussed post and its comments to determine the precise focus of my reader's interest, I have tentatively ruled out the Moon Pies.

With that in mind, here, gentle reader, is another short girl with an atypical body type who is sporting a ribbon...

Source Unknown!

Enjoy!

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June 07, 2015

The Top Story On Drudge

......, as I type this, is that a horse has won the Triple Crown.

This does not seem to meet the requirements of "News".

If a Galapagos Tortoise had won the Triple Crown now THAT would be news, if only because said victory would be indicative of serious issues with the horses and quite possibly fraud on behalf of the tortoise.

Of course such newsworthy information would likely be ignored in that case and the lede would be speculation as to whether the tortoise identified as a horse*...which would dominate the news cycle for a week.

I bring this up because, while the story might warrant a mention and could even be a top tier story on a slow news day, today is not one of hose days.

There was a Bomb threat at a meet and greet for the republican presidential candidates.

The Chinese have announced that "ALL OF YOUR BRIBABLE SECRETS ARE BELONG TO US!"

Things continue to deteriorate in the South China Sea.

On a recent test, to see if they could stop terrorists, the TSA got a 95%...FAILURE RATE.

A U.S. government customs helicopter was shot down Friday over Laredo Texas while pursuing drug smugglers. The anti-aircraft fire came from across the border in Mexico. The helicopter reportedly took three hits one of which was in the engine.

. . The shooting came from the Mexican side and all individuals fled and got away. The individuals on the U.S. side also got away into the state of Texas.

But hey...a horse has won a horserace.

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March 02, 2015

Stuff...

I have contracted a case of the Martian Death Flu which has kneecapped my creativity. In the interests of content here are a few random links.

First some good news: A Boko Haram force, while attempting to move into southern Chad encountered a Chadian Army unit which curb-stomped them. Boko Haram's losses were 207 killed against Chad's one dead and nine wounded. Chad also seized large quantities of small arms and ammunition left behind by the murderous, feral nutbars.

A US Military satellite has exploded in orbit. The 20 year old DMSP-F13 reported a temperature spike before breaking into 43 pieces. The loss occurred on February 3rd but was only reported Saturday.

The U.S. Korea Institute has issued a projection of how many nuclear weapons North Korea will have in 2020. The estimate is between 20 and more than 100. That's a rather....large spread. There is an interview with the researchers over at The Diplomat. It can be heard here.

We've mentioned before that America's B-61 nuclear bombs are being reduced in yield from 340KT to 50KT (while at the same same time massively increasing the accuracy). There is much more on this here. Note the buried lede 29 paragraphs down:

As part of this plan, the U.S. would eliminate the megaton-class B83 gravity bomb.

With a yield variable from a few kilotons to 1.2 megatons B-83 is by far the most powerful weapon remaining in the arsenal. The B-83 is also a much more modern nuclear bomb than the B-61. Yet this weapon is being removed from the arsenal, to be replaced with two downgraded versions of the old B-61 with 50 and 100 kiloton maximum yields. While lower yields and greater accuracy do reduce collateral damage, nuclear deterrence involves having the potential to maximize damage to the infrastructure of the country being deterred. Also, ones accuracy is only as good as one's targeting, and while missile silos and military bases might well be eliminated with 50 kiloton blasts, the great SCUD hunt reminds us that hunting for the mobile land based missiles is not at all easy and could well involve a lot of imprecise targeting in a general area, where the greater 'earthquake effect' of the earth penetrating B-83 might be valuable. Finally, there is the possibility that a nation with a different values set than ours might conclude that even 1000 or more 50-100kt weapons hitting their strategic targets would be survivable as a nation, whereas a similar number of megaton class weapons would allow no recovery for us, thus in their twisted logic, victory. This is more likely if one has 4 times our population and a Maoist outlook that might consider one's large population to represent...spares. Increasing the accuracy of the arsenal is surely a good idea, as it makes the deterrent more credible, but getting rid of our most powerful bomb (which is variable yield in any event) seems rather ill considered.

As we have again mentioned "nukes", here is a picture of 21 kilotons of 'splody.

Pete Zaitcev takes a break from aviation blogging to express his thoughts on the Ukrainian situation.

The Baltic Dry Index has hit a 29 year low.

China is building three to five times as many subs as the U.S.A.

What is being described as "vandalism" resulted in internet, phone, and cell service being disrupted across a wide swath of Arizona on Wednesday.

Something is quite rotten at UCLA.

Carly Fiorina asks a reasonable question.

Ebola has not been in the news lately as it has not been spreading as fast as feared, but it has managed to kill 10,000 thus far and get into the vice Presidential offices of Sierra Leone...oh and it is now believed that airborne transmission is very likely in certain circumstances. ISTR those who suggested this earlier were called bad names. Additonally, it has recently been revealed via a freedom of information request that Ebola does, in fact seem to be a serious concern to the military with regard to its weaponization by terrorists.

The first scenario outlined is completely redacted, illustrating the acute sensitivity about the issue. The second scenario is heavily blacked out but, according to the memo, "would be both logistically and technically challenging for a non-state group to undertake".

Well...that's reassuring. And I mean that with the same level of sarcasm that I say this is reassuring as well.

Finally, some Taiwanese news outfit has thoughts on Net Neutrality.

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October 24, 2014

We Have Morons on Our Team

It seems that Craig Spencer, a doctor with Medicines Sans Frontiers, recently returned from the ebola hot zone in Africa. 10 days or so into his 21 day quarantine period he began feeling ill. This sad news, is, of course, not unexpected. It is why we have the quarantine for those who are exposed to this vile bug. Unfortunately, it gets worse. You see, he began feeling ill, when, as part of his..umm...quarantine...he had taken the subway to that bastion of solitude that is...a bowling alley.

Ace has thoughts

Yup. That's what you like to see. Potentially infected people should really try to mix with as many random strangers as possible. They should try to wear as many rented shoes as possible, and stick their fingers into bowling balls that other people will be handling.

Also stand in line for food.

I understand, that he took an Uber home.

Good grief.

This was a fricking DOCTOR! He had just spent a tour witnessing up close what this dreadful pestilence can do, and he broke quarantine?! To go BOWLING!?

Dr. Reynolds has a bunch of links on this here.

People gave grief to the late Thomas Duncan who was, at one point, told that he was clear and sent home, but this guy was a doctor with direct experience with this disease...he knew better. Presumably, he just decided that it wasn't going to happen to him.

Hubris kills, and it does not confine its wrath to the arrogant.

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July 26, 2014

De-Escalation

I don't think that word means what some Russians think it does.

"de-escalationâ€â€”the idea that, if Russia were faced with a large-scale conventional attack that exceeded its capacity for defense, it might respond with a limited nuclear strike.

It's probably just a translation glitch. Do read the whole thing.

The gist of the article is that Russian policy is such that in the event of a major military confrontation in their immediate sphere of influence (Chechnya is specifically mentioned) , a very limited nuclear strike will cause the other side to pause and reflect., thereby defusing the situation. There is another, albeit rather dated, article on this policy here.

Russia is not the only country that does not have a no first use policy. The same is true of the US and France for instance and US policy has been that if attacked with non-nuclear WMDs (especially a severe biological attack) nukes might be used. However, the Russian policy is odd in assuming that this will lead to a racheting DOWN of tensions. Once nukes start popping off, the potential for things to go completely pear shaped becomes very great indeed.

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1 USSR had no-first-use promises made, but after its collapse there was some rethinking done in Russia.

Posted by: Pete Zaitcev at Sat Jul 26 20:56:19 2014 (RqRa5)

2 Indeed. There was also the Kosovo operation which really annoyed the Russians and brought US and Russian troops to the point of very nearly shooting at each other.

Posted by: The Brickmuppet at Sat Jul 26 22:40:54 2014 (DnAJl)

3 The USSR had no-first-use promises made, but frankly, nobody believed them. Nor should have!

That said, frankly we are probably better off staying the hell out of the Russian near-abroad. Certainly we don't have the ability to project power into the Ukraine or Georgia, there's nothing we have at stake there except abstract principle, and Russia would probably feel better with a little bit of a buffer; it's easy to say "why worry about invasion?" when your neighbors are Canada and Mexico. (Not that Germany is going to get up to anything...)

I've got to say, the Israelis probably owe Putin a letter of thanks. Can't really hammer them for going into Gaza when Russia's also being fast and loose with fighters over the border...

Posted by: Avatar_exADV at Sun Jul 27 03:28:50 2014 (ZeBdf)

4 Kosovo is interesting in that it was exacly the same thing that's happening in Donetsk right now: the government wanting to expel an ethnic minority that served as a base for its opponents. That's why, for example, you can see an Ukrainian tank driving down the street and shooting at every house. It's not like there was a rebel with RPG sitting in each of them. The point is to make everyone in town to run for their lives, or die. Same goes for insciriminate bombardment.
When Serbs expelled Kosovars, we went and bombed Belgrad. When Ukrainians are eliminating Russians, we do not bomb Kiev. Instead, we're discussing helping them.
The difference is that Russians supported the guys who were doing the depopulation back then, and they are supporting those who are being depopulated right now. It shows very starkly that U.S. gives no consideration to "humanitarian" concerns whatsoever.
This is possible in part because of absolutely astonishing levels of lies, propaganda, and denial. I saw a number of Internet comments by Americans, which flatly deny that Kiev government was committing all the atrocities that are well documented. It's like the Moon Landing Hoax for them, and anyone who brings it up is Putin's stoodge.

Posted by: Pete Zaitcev at Sun Jul 27 09:27:53 2014 (RqRa5)

5 Yes, of course, how can we not have perceived that Kiev's taken the opportunity to engage in a bit of ethnic cleansing? Obviously the conflict was a matter of choice for them and not, you know, Russia snatching territory from a neighbor. Russia doesn't have any designs in the area and is completely content with the Crimea, any further Anschluss is mere rumor-mongering by a hostile foreign press!

I just re-read Shirer a month ago, and it's worrisome when someone uses that as an instruction manual.

It's completely fair to say that the US didn't really have any business mucking about in Kosovo; Pournelle has mentioned a few times that "there certainly hadn't been any legal immigration of Albanian Muslims into that region." It drove a wedge between the US and Russia that has colored everything since, and it took a hell of a lot of cheek for Hilary to claim a need to "reset" relations since the US participation in the conflict was largely prompted by her husband needing to displace his sex scandals in the news.

All that said, most Americans don't even realize that Ukranian is a separate ethnicity from Russian, so it's little wonder that they don't see it as an ethnic conflict.

Posted by: Avatar_exADV at Sun Jul 27 11:51:05 2014 (ZeBdf)

"The USSR had no-first-use promises made, but frankly, nobody believed them. Nor should have!"

Well, yes. It was along the lines of their commitment to world peace, with world peace defined as an absence of opposition to global communism.
I put the same confidence in the USSR's commitment to that as I do China's, which is bragging about the fact that by the end of this year they'll be able to wipe out a third of our population in an hour.
The point I made about Kosovo was that when we went into Kosovo the way we did and when we did, it caused a major reassessment on their part and they decided to openly proclaim that they were willing to use nukes to compensate for their conventional shortcomings, just like we did in the '70s.

Posted by: Brickmuppet at Sun Jul 27 12:05:22 2014 (DnAJl)

7 I'd say that a lot of the actual reassessment came in the aftermath of the First Gulf War.

The Soviets had a quantity-over-quality strategy that called for a small number of top-of-the-line units backed by formidable numbers of outdated but pretty cheap units. This stuff was also the bulk of Soviet military aid to various ally nations/puppets/satellites. They weren't counting on it to hold off the best the US had to offer, but they WERE counting on it to be a serious threat in the kind of numbers that they could field.

Iraq had what had been regarded, at the time, as a decently-trained army. They got hammered, plowed under (literally, in some cases), humiliated. US forces attacked at a significant manpower disadvantage, not normally a recipe for great success, and... well, suffice it to say that it did not go well for the Iraqis.

This was extremely bad for the greater Soviet strategy. If second-line forces couldn't even inflict casualties or slow down attacking US forces, then the numerical superiority on paper was an illusion. Unable to afford first-line equipment in the kind of numbers it would take to match the Western democracies, unable to rely on the masses of second-line equipment for anything but mobile coffins, the Soviet armies just weren't a match for the West anymore, and effectively had no way out of that jam.

I've always felt that this was at least one factor in why the Soviet Union collapsed when it did. The army could have upheld the state for quite a lot longer, but with its self-confidence having taken that kind of beating...

(And, naturally, a Russia after the breakup has a completely different strategic situation from the USSR pre-breakup - very little international advantage to be gained from a no-first-use claim, false or otherwise, and at least some self-protection to be gained...)

Posted by: Avatar_exADV at Sun Jul 27 15:06:44 2014 (ZeBdf)

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July 06, 2014

Well, Dang...

This is awkward....

pic via Scott Lowther, who points out other photos of the fiasco here.

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1 When I first saw that image I thought it was a photoshop. My second reaction to it was "Jet liners returning to their spawning ground to breed"...

Posted by: Steven Den Beste at Mon Jul 7 13:45:35 2014 (+rSRq)

"Jet liners returning to their spawning ground to breed"

So that's why Boeing originally built its factory in the Pacific Northwest...

Posted by: Siergen at Mon Jul 7 19:45:13 2014 (8/vFI)

3 I realized immediately what had occurred, but only because a recent issue of Trains magazine had an article on odd rail cargo... submarine reactor vessels, blades for windmills, other trains, buildings, 737 fuselages, that sort of thing.

It's hardly a "fiasco," it's an unfortunate derailment at a bad spot for it. Insurance, either Boeing's or the railcarrier's, will cover replacement costs.

Posted by: Wonderduck at Mon Jul 7 19:58:02 2014 (wd10W)

4 And only losing three fusilages like this is going to affect their shipment schedules, but not by damned much.

Posted by: Steven Den Beste at Mon Jul 7 20:06:14 2014 (+rSRq)

5 "Jet liners returning to their spawning ground to breed"

And they're extra-phallic when they don't have their wings on.

"blades for windmills"

Forget the train derailments... google image search for "windmill blade truck" and tell me those things aren't spooky...

Posted by: Mikeski at Mon Jul 7 20:58:04 2014 (luDkn)

6 Bet you didn't know that jet liners are tri-sexual, did you?

Posted by: Steven Den Beste at Tue Jul 8 01:32:43 2014 (+rSRq)

7 "Loggers in Montana are shown harvesting 737 Fuselages. These three will soon be floated down the river to the mill...."

Yeah, we joked a bit about this at work.

That's barely a day's production at the Renton plant. They send 43 737's a month out the door, and that's still not enough. They're working on pumping it up to 47.

All without the morale-busting levels of mandatory overtime we have to deal with on my line.

Posted by: Mauser at Tue Jul 8 04:24:20 2014 (TJ7ih)

8 Actually, this IS a big enough concern, it could disrupt production for about three days.

Posted by: Mauser at Wed Jul 9 03:24:10 2014 (TJ7ih)

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January 30, 2014

The Difference Between Snowflakes and Zombies

^{Real life vs Walking Dead}

In Atlanta anyway.

Gizmodo has a surprisingly good piece by a transplanted Northerner that explains the situation to his sneering former neighbors.

Birmingham is one of those cities that shuts down at the faintest hint of snow. Again, this isnâ€™t because we are rubes who wonder why Godâ€™s tears have turned white and fall slower. Itâ€™s because the city does not have the infrastructure in place to handle snow, and is self-aware enough to realize it. If you donâ€™t know how to swim, just stay out of the pool. Easy.
This time, though, the city did not shut down. Schools were open. Places of business kept businessing. Thatâ€™s because as of Tuesday morning, we were being told that all that was coming was a light dusting

Read the whole thing.

I'm not sure there wasn't a major screw up in Atlanta, but the southeast got, in addition to the snow, a good deal of ice in some places, and that, combined with the storm shifting at the last moment really caused problems.

One exchange in the comments stands out though, in response to those who helpfully stressing the importance of driving slow came THIS profound insight.....

Ummm...that's your scenario too.

Listen. If you know how to drive in snow well enough that you don't need to slow down....YOU DON'T KNOW HOW TO DRIVE IN SNOW. "Mr. Snow Is Scary" is the one doing it right.

Now I realize that for some of our readers, if you don't have to break out the aerosani, then it ain't really snow, but no matter how great the snowfall, one of the most important safety tips is to know your limitations. Driving slow is a rational, sensible response.

Here locally, we have 8 inches on the ground in Portsmouth, which is more than we've gotten in over a decade. (The other side of the Roads often gets more, but here on the Southside any accumulation is rare) The area is still shut down and schools are expected to remain closed tomorrow.

It will be 65 this weekend.

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December 22, 2013

Aren't We Lucky?

The popular leader of a comedy troupe that looks like a zombie version of ZZ Top has made a somewhat edgy and vulgar comment that has the ministry of acceptable discourse all in a tizzy. The fellow has been fired. There are thoughts i generally agree with on this matter of great importance here, here, here, here and from the always interesting Camille Paglia here. This is at once silly, disturbing and perhaps even a bit heartening...

You see, so quiet is the domestic and international stage that it is the only news story worth talking about.

more...

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July 05, 2013

OK This....I Didn't See Coming

I Initially heard about this two days ago and it's one of those things that when I saw it, I thought to myself "It's a trap!"

That is, I figured that it could not possibly be as reported.

Because it's a story about a third amendment violation.

I mean REALLY. Is there ever going to be an issue with the government quartering troops in peoples houses?

So this had to be a mistake. It was surely going to be debunked and...

Oh...

   LAS VEGAS (CN) - Henderson police arrested a family for refusing to let officers use their homes as lookouts for a domestic violence investigation of their neighbors, the family claims in court.
     Anthony Mitchell and his parents Michael and Linda Mitchell sued the City of Henderson, its Police Chief Jutta Chambers, Officers Garret Poiner, Ronald Feola, Ramona Walls, Angela Walker, and Christopher Worley, and City of North Las Vegas and its Police Chief Joseph Chronister, in Federal Court.
     Henderson, pop. 257,000, is a suburb of Las Vegas.
     The Mitchell family's claim includes Third Amendment violations, a rare claim in the United States. The Third Amendment prohibits quartering soldiers in citizens' homes in times of peace without the consent of the owner.

^{"What is happening to the country?"}

They shot the family dog with pepper pellets too.

Ilya Somin has thoughts.

more...

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April 23, 2013

20% Mortality?

China is confirming that the H7N9 strain of Bird Flu has jumped to people. They are reporting 108 cases of which 22 have been fatalities. A 20% mortality rate is alarming as it equals or exceeds the the lethality of the 1918 pandemic.

There is more on this here.

The official line in China is that there is no direct evidence of Human-Human transmission. However, the CDC website indicates that a number of the patients have had no contact with poultry or livestock. The Wikipedia page says that this is true for over 50% of patients, but provides no sourcing for that figure.

Note that even if it is a P2P bug the 20% mortality figure may be inflated if, for instance, the only people diagnosed thus far are those who were already exceptionally ill.

Bird flu is always worrying but we get a scare like this every year or so and it should be remembered that the awful flu we got this winter hit with no warning. So just take this as a reminder that things can go pear shaped at any time and it's good to have ones disaster season supplies in order.

It's even better not to dispair.

So cheer up.

With that in mind, here is some cheer brought to you by the color pink.

^{Cheerful young lady trying to blend pink and teal is Megumi from GJ-Club.}

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September 26, 2012

All is not well with this world.

Colleen Doran has a post on the importance of trademark and I must say that...I cannot unsee it. To assure us that this atrocity IS personal she also links to this.

In other news, there is a pending bacon shortage. A BACON SHORTAGE!

Not only that, I realized that I'm fresh out of tar and feathers.

With the car in the shop, I'm unable to stock up so I decided to check on the Japan/China situation and blundered into this.

I then decided to put my bagel to the side indefinitely and just look for images to use for reaction shots and macros for the blo....

...OH HELL NO!

^{If you don't get this piece by Poly-M...Congratulations. It was a test and you passed.}

We'll ask an artist for her opinion on these matters.

I think I'm in agreement with Mio on this.

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June 04, 2012

Taxidermy of Tomorrow TODAY!

Ewww.
Neat!
...
Ewwww!

^via

Dutch dude uses his awesome taxidermy powers to turn his dead cat into Coptercat.

Naturally he uses it to chase cows.

The use of the Airwolf soundtrack is sublime.

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May 07, 2012

Servants of Moloch

Browsing through the Green Room I encountered a link to this....

Health authorities in Asia are concerned that if the powdered foetus trade is allowed to continue the capsules will find their way onto the internet and be sold to gullible or sick desperate people in other parts of the world.

Emphasis mine.

"Obviously.."I thought to myself "This headline must be somewhat misleading."

Alas no....

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August 27, 2011

Yikes! ( Unrelated to Storm)

This doesn't concern the storm, but it's of concern nonetheless.

If the R.O.U.S.s team up with the C.H.U.D.s New York is in trouble.
via

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August 22, 2011

Irene

It looks like Puerto Rico is getting hammered, and this thing has only just begun its mischief.

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