April 26, 2026
Again...
I was streaming during the event, I was unaware of it until much later.
There is not much that is known at this time. What is known is that a Teacher of the Year from California ran the scanners at the White House Correspondent's Dinner and got off several shots before being subdued.
Thankfully unlike the Butler shooting, no one was killed. One Secret Service Member was shot but his bulletproof vest's manufacturer is going to have a field day with advertising.
Not counting the Iranian backed attempt from 2024 (which was disrupted during the planning phase and seems to have gotten nowhere near the president), this was the THIRD assassination attempt. The third time shots were fired at him.
At this point, I think it likely that Trump does not finish out his term, and think it likely that he joins Lincoln, Garfield, McKinley, and Kennedy.
I also think that will be a disaster, as it will normalize political violence in a way the 4 others did not. The opposition party is openly calling for this, the protesters outside the WHCD cheered when the news reached them.
IDK who Jason Howerton is, but he's correct. almost everyone doing politically motivated assassinations right now is on the far left. The only one I'm aware of in recent years that was an assassination of a left winger was the brutal murder of the leader of the very left wing Farm-Labor Party. However that turned out to be a leftist who was angry that Melissa Hortman had voted against a measure to bring more Illegal Immigrants into her state.
I fear the we are entering a period of political violence we haven't seen since the late 1960s and early to mid '70s. This was a cycle that has played itself out in many other American countries, and turned many of them into abattoirs. The U.S. has been lucky in that regard, but is not immune to the immense currents of historical trends and human nature.
We are in for a rough ride.
Posted by: The Brickmuppet at
09:41 AM
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I'm pretty sure I deleted a completely legit comment that had been here while I was in the process of purging spam.
Please, repost your comment if you can. I am very sorry. I am NOT in the business of deleting opposing viewpoints unless they contain obscenities or true threats.
Again. I am very sorry.
Posted by: The Brickmuppet at Sun May 3 19:15:10 2026 (dLZLE)
2
I don't really think that was a legit comment.
It was by a 'tevildo'.
Thesis was that a) conditions inside the US are declining b) the Iran war is a significant disappointment to Americans, sufficient on its own to determine the congressional elections.
Thus, it predicted that the Democrats would win both houses, and that they would then impeach and convict Trump.
So the pattern of errors, to me, could have a domestic explanation, but I interpreted it as a foreign spammer working for one of the adversarial regimes.
I don't think that anyone sane and informed knows for certain what the House elections will wind up being. The insiders will have their baseball, and their theory of their thumb on the scales.
The Democrat extremists have all along, at least after the 2016 vote, said that Trump would be significant and irreversible. (They generally overstate irreversibility, behavioral processes are not as they model them.)
The Republican voter extremists have been saying that the domestic terrorism and electoral fraud is funded by the federal government.
If either of these two positions are a little bit true, than this cycle could have differences from previous ones that make forecasting more difficult and less certain.
The basic and fundamental problem with supposing that 'Jewish conspiracy controls America' is a winning campaign plank, is that America has a lot of Christians, and Christians know two things. One is that both the Christians and the Jews document things that establish that Islam is a heresy of Christianity, therefore Muslims who want to kill Jews also want to kill Christians. The second is that it is Americans Christians, the fundamentalist evangelical Protestants in particular, who are the basis for the American support for Israel. Another problem is that many non-Christian and Christian Americans understand the American Jacksonian tradition, and understand that the Jacksonians do not, for example, love the Twelvers.
To the extent that Americans are Jacksonian, they don't have a problem with war against Iran, they have a problem with using padded gloves to wage war. Trump is still very 'padded gloves' compared to what the Jacksonians might consider.
It was by a 'tevildo'.
Thesis was that a) conditions inside the US are declining b) the Iran war is a significant disappointment to Americans, sufficient on its own to determine the congressional elections.
Thus, it predicted that the Democrats would win both houses, and that they would then impeach and convict Trump.
So the pattern of errors, to me, could have a domestic explanation, but I interpreted it as a foreign spammer working for one of the adversarial regimes.
I don't think that anyone sane and informed knows for certain what the House elections will wind up being. The insiders will have their baseball, and their theory of their thumb on the scales.
The Democrat extremists have all along, at least after the 2016 vote, said that Trump would be significant and irreversible. (They generally overstate irreversibility, behavioral processes are not as they model them.)
The Republican voter extremists have been saying that the domestic terrorism and electoral fraud is funded by the federal government.
If either of these two positions are a little bit true, than this cycle could have differences from previous ones that make forecasting more difficult and less certain.
The basic and fundamental problem with supposing that 'Jewish conspiracy controls America' is a winning campaign plank, is that America has a lot of Christians, and Christians know two things. One is that both the Christians and the Jews document things that establish that Islam is a heresy of Christianity, therefore Muslims who want to kill Jews also want to kill Christians. The second is that it is Americans Christians, the fundamentalist evangelical Protestants in particular, who are the basis for the American support for Israel. Another problem is that many non-Christian and Christian Americans understand the American Jacksonian tradition, and understand that the Jacksonians do not, for example, love the Twelvers.
To the extent that Americans are Jacksonian, they don't have a problem with war against Iran, they have a problem with using padded gloves to wage war. Trump is still very 'padded gloves' compared to what the Jacksonians might consider.
Posted by: PatBuckman at Tue May 5 10:58:56 2026 (s6adZ)
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